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LaLiga2
Las Palmas
U U T U S
1–0
Full-time
Lugo
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
30%
24%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
55%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

18 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 1
10 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Las Palmas 13. · Lugo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 33 17 9 7 +13 60
2 Zaragoza 33 16 10 7 +15 58
3 Almeria 33 14 11 8 +19 53
4 Huesca 33 16 5 12 +8 53
5 Elche 34 13 11 10 +8 50
6 Girona 34 13 10 11 +4 49
7 Vallecano 34 10 18 6 +8 48
8 Mirandes 33 11 15 7 +1 48
9 Sp Gijon 33 12 9 12 +4 45
10 Ponferradina 33 10 14 9 +3 44
11 Alcorcon 33 10 14 9 +1 44
12 Fuenlabrada 33 10 12 11 -1 42
13 Las Palmas 33 10 12 11 -4 42
14 Tenerife 33 10 10 13 -1 40
15 Malaga 33 8 15 10 -2 39
16 Numancia 33 9 11 13 -2 38
17 Albacete 33 10 8 15 -13 38
18 La Coruna 34 8 14 12 -18 38
19 Oviedo 33 8 13 12 -6 37
20 Lugo 33 8 13 12 -13 37
21 Extremadura UD 33 7 11 15 -14 32
22 Santander 33 4 17 12 -10 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -19 Lugo – Las Palmas 0–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,16
B
4,21
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,46
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.