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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
S U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Girona
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
45%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
45%
20%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,3
1,6
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

10 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 7
9 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 7. · Girona 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 21 14 3 4 +22 45
2 Mallorca 21 12 6 3 +18 42
3 Almeria 20 13 2 5 +13 41
4 Vallecano 20 10 4 6 +7 34
5 Leganes 20 10 4 6 +5 34
6 Sp Gijon 20 9 6 5 +5 33
7 Ponferradina 20 9 3 8 -3 30
8 Girona 20 8 5 7 -1 29
9 Las Palmas 21 7 8 6 -3 29
10 Malaga 21 7 7 7 -7 28
11 Oviedo 21 6 9 6 +3 27
12 Mirandes 20 7 6 7 +2 27
13 Fuenlabrada 20 6 9 5 +0 27
14 Lugo 20 7 6 7 +0 27
15 Logrones 21 8 3 10 -8 27
16 Tenerife 21 7 5 9 -1 26
17 Alcorcon 20 5 5 10 -6 20
18 Cartagena 21 5 5 11 -8 20
19 Sabadell 20 5 4 11 -7 19
20 Castellon 21 5 4 12 -10 19
21 Zaragoza 21 4 6 11 -7 18
22 Albacete 20 3 6 11 -14 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U ✓
2,86
B
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,65
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.