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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Huesca
U S T U T
0–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
6%
47%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
31%
60%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

30% Possession 70%
4 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huesca 20. · Barcelona 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 15 12 2 1 +23 38
2 Real Madrid 17 11 3 3 +15 36
3 Sociedad 18 8 6 4 +14 30
4 Villarreal 17 7 8 2 +5 29
5 Sevilla 15 8 3 4 +7 27
6 Barcelona 15 7 4 4 +14 25
7 Granada 16 7 3 6 -6 24
8 Celta 17 6 5 6 -2 23
9 Ath Bilbao 17 6 3 8 +0 21
10 Betis 17 6 2 9 -11 20
11 Eibar 17 4 7 6 -2 19
12 Cadiz 16 5 4 7 -9 19
13 Levante 16 4 6 6 -2 18
14 Alaves 17 4 6 7 -5 18
15 Valladolid 17 4 6 7 -8 18
16 Getafe 16 4 5 7 -5 17
17 Elche 15 3 7 5 -5 16
18 Valencia 16 3 6 7 -2 15
19 Osasuna 16 3 5 8 -10 14
20 Huesca 16 1 9 6 -11 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huesca Barcelona
27′
F. de Jong 0–1
L. Messi
Half-time 0–1
I. Doumbia 🔁
↦ Mikel Rico
65′
Juan Carlos 🔁
↦ Jorge Pulido
72′
David Ferreiro 🔁
↦ Jaime Seoane
72′
S. Okazaki 🔁
↦ Sergio Gómez
72′
75′
🔁 M. Pjanić
↦ Busquets
75′
🔁 Óscar Mingueza
↦ S. Dest
81′
🔁 A. Griezmann
↦ M. Braithwaite
Javier Ontiveros 🟨
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Huesca

4-3-3
1 Álvaro Fernández G
18 D. Siovas D
14 Jorge Pulido D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
11 Javier Galán D
5 Pedro Mosquera M
17 Mikel Rico M
20 Jaime Seoane M
15 Javi Ontiveros F
10 Sergio Gómez F
9 Rafa Mir F
Bench (10)
2 I. Doumbia
21 Juan Carlos
7 David Ferreiro
12 S. Okazaki
16 Luisinho
23 Dani Escriche
19 Pedro López
8 Eugeni Valderrama
25 Andrés Fernández
26 K. Nwakali

Coach: Míchel

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
18 Jordi Alba D
15 C. Lenglet D
4 R. Araújo D
2 S. Dest D
5 Busquets M
21 F. de Jong M
10 L. Messi F
9 M. Braithwaite F
11 O. Dembélé F
16 Pedri M
Bench (11)
8 M. Pjanić
28 Óscar Mingueza
7 A. Griezmann
13 Neto
6 Carles Aleñá
17 Trincão
19 Matheus Fernandes
26 Iñaki Peña
29 K. De La Fuente
12 Riqui Puig
24 Junior Firpo

Coach: R. Koeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,38
U
4,70
B ✓
1,47
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.