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LaLiga2

Lugo

T U U U U

1–0

Full-time

Ponferradina

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Ponferradina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,3

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 41%

35%

47%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

35%

47%

Both score Ø 41%

41%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 5

1 Shots on target 2

8 Corners 3

13 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lugo 12. · Ponferradina 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	17	11	5	1	+19	38
2	Espanol	17	11	3	3	+17	36
3	Almeria	17	11	2	4	+10	35
4	Leganes	17	10	2	5	+6	32
5	Sp Gijon	17	8	4	5	+4	28
6	Vallecano	17	8	3	6	+4	27
7	Girona	17	8	3	6	+1	27
8	Ponferradina	17	8	3	6	-1	27
9	Malaga	17	7	4	6	-5	25
10	Mirandes	17	6	6	5	+4	24
11	Fuenlabrada	17	5	8	4	+0	23
12	Lugo	17	6	5	6	+0	23
13	Logrones	17	7	2	8	-4	23
14	Oviedo	17	5	7	5	+2	22
15	Las Palmas	17	5	7	5	-3	22
16	Cartagena	17	5	4	8	-3	19
17	Tenerife	17	4	5	8	-5	17
18	Alcorcon	17	4	4	9	-6	16
19	Castellon	17	4	3	10	-10	15
20	Sabadell	17	4	2	11	-8	14
21	Zaragoza	17	2	5	10	-9	11
22	Albacete	17	2	5	10	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	9	8	0	1	+9	24
2	Espanol	9	7	1	1	+12	22
3	Mallorca	9	6	2	1	+13	20
4	Vallecano	8	6	1	1	+9	19
5	Sp Gijon	8	5	3	0	+7	18
6	Las Palmas	8	5	1	2	+3	16
7	Almeria	8	4	2	2	+5	14
8	Mirandes	9	3	5	1	+4	14
9	Lugo	8	4	2	2	+3	14
10	Ponferradina	9	4	2	3	+0	14
11	Logrones	8	4	1	3	+2	13
12	Girona	8	4	1	3	+2	13
13	Tenerife	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	Fuenlabrada	8	2	5	1	+1	11
15	Cartagena	8	3	1	4	+1	10
16	Oviedo	9	2	4	3	+1	10
17	Zaragoza	9	2	4	3	-1	10
18	Alcorcon	9	3	1	5	-4	10
19	Castellon	8	3	0	5	-2	9
20	Albacete	9	2	3	4	-3	9
21	Malaga	8	2	3	3	-3	9
22	Sabadell	9	2	1	6	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	9	7	0	2	+5	21
2	Mallorca	8	5	3	0	+6	18
3	Malaga	9	5	1	3	-2	16
4	Espanol	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Girona	9	4	2	3	-1	14
6	Ponferradina	8	4	1	3	-1	13
7	Oviedo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Fuenlabrada	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Mirandes	8	3	1	4	+0	10
10	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-3	10
11	Logrones	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Lugo	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Cartagena	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Leganes	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Vallecano	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Sabadell	8	2	1	5	-4	7
17	Alcorcon	8	1	3	4	-2	6
18	Las Palmas	9	0	6	3	-6	6
19	Castellon	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Tenerife	8	1	2	5	-6	5
21	Albacete	8	0	2	6	-10	2
22	Zaragoza	8	0	1	7	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.