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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
U S S U T
1–0
Full-time
Oviedo
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
44%
39%
Both score Ø 48%
39%
56%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 9. · Oviedo 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mallorca 18 12 5 1 +20 41
2 Espanol 18 12 3 3 +20 39
3 Almeria 18 12 2 4 +12 38
4 Leganes 18 10 2 6 +5 32
5 Sp Gijon 18 9 4 5 +5 31
6 Vallecano 18 8 4 6 +4 28
7 Girona 18 8 4 6 +1 28
8 Mirandes 18 7 6 5 +5 27
9 Ponferradina 18 8 3 7 -2 27
10 Lugo 18 7 5 6 +1 26
11 Oviedo 18 6 7 5 +4 25
12 Malaga 18 7 4 7 -7 25
13 Fuenlabrada 18 5 8 5 -1 23
14 Las Palmas 18 5 8 5 -3 23
15 Logrones 18 7 2 9 -7 23
16 Cartagena 18 5 4 9 -4 19
17 Castellon 18 5 3 10 -7 18
18 Alcorcon 18 4 5 9 -6 17
19 Sabadell 18 5 2 11 -7 17
20 Tenerife 18 4 5 9 -7 17
21 Zaragoza 18 2 5 11 -10 11
22 Albacete 18 2 5 11 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,30
U
2,88
B
2,40
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,77
U2,5 ✓
1,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.