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LaLiga2

Ponferradina

T T S S S

0–2

Full-time

Cartagena

U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Cartagena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 7

14 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ponferradina 5. · Cartagena 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Sp Gijon	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Fuenlabrada	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Mallorca	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Ponferradina	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Vallecano	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Castellon	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Mirandes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Malaga	5	2	1	2	-4	7
10	Las Palmas	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Leganes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Tenerife	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Zaragoza	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	Alcorcon	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	Logrones	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Cartagena	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Almeria	3	1	0	2	+0	3
18	Oviedo	4	0	3	1	-2	3
19	Girona	3	1	0	2	-2	3
20	Lugo	5	1	0	4	-5	3
21	Albacete	5	0	1	4	-7	1
22	Sabadell	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Fuenlabrada	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Tenerife	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Mallorca	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Alcorcon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Zaragoza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Logrones	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Malaga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Ponferradina	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Castellon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Cartagena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Lugo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Mirandes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Albacete	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Oviedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Sabadell	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ponferradina	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Castellon	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Fuenlabrada	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Girona	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Malaga	3	1	0	2	-5	3
12	Oviedo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cartagena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Alcorcon	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Sabadell	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Logrones	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Lugo	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Tenerife	2	0	0	2	-4	0
22	Albacete	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.