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Serie B
Referee: S Galipò
Cesena
S S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Cosenza
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cesena 6. · Cosenza 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 16 11 4 1 +23 37
2 Pisa 17 10 5 2 +13 35
3 Spezia 16 9 6 1 +17 33
4 Cremonese 16 7 3 6 +4 24
5 Bari 17 5 9 3 +4 24
6 Cesena 16 6 4 6 +2 22
7 Juve Stabia 16 5 7 4 -2 22
8 Palermo 16 5 6 5 +3 21
9 Catanzaro 16 3 11 2 +3 20
10 Cosenza 16 4 8 4 -1 20
11 Brescia 16 5 4 7 -3 19
12 Carrarese 16 5 4 7 -5 19
13 Reggiana 16 4 6 6 -2 18
14 Mantova 16 4 6 6 -4 18
15 Modena 16 3 8 5 -1 17
16 Sampdoria 16 4 5 7 -6 17
17 Salernitana 16 4 5 7 -6 17
18 Frosinone 16 3 7 6 -9 16
19 Cittadella 16 3 5 8 -16 14
20 Sudtirol 16 4 1 11 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cesena Cosenza
E. Tavşan 🔁
↦ C. Shpendi
29′
42′
🟨 Christos Kourfalidis
Giacomo Calò 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Tavşan
J. Ceesay
46′
47′
🟨 Alessandro Micai
2–0 T. Berti
J. Ceesay
57′
65′
🔁 L. Strizzolo
↦ M. Zilli
65′
🔁 T. Fumagalli
↦ A. Caporale
65′
🔁 A. Rizzo Pinna
↦ S. Mazzocchi
70′
M. Ricciardi 2–1
M. Venturi
Jonathan Klinsmann 🟨
75′
76′
🟨 Aldo Florenzi
77′
🔁 J. Mauri
↦ C. Kourfalidis
L. Mendicino 🔁
↦ G. Calò
78′
S. Bastoni 🔁
↦ T. Berti
78′
Mirko Antonucci 🟨
83′
E. Adamo 🔁
↦ J. Ceesay
83′
S. van Hooijdonk 🔁
↦ M. Antonucci
83′
Emanuele Adamo 🟨
87′
87′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ G. Ricci
88′
🟨 Luca Strizzolo
Sydney van Hooijdonk 🟨
94′
98′
🟥 Christian Kouan
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cesena

3-4-2-1
33 J. Klinsmann G
3 M. Curto D
19 G. Prestia D
24 M. Mangraviti D
11 J. Ceesay M
35 G. Calò M
70 M. Francesconi M
7 D. Donnarumma M
14 T. Berti F
23 M. Antonucci F
9 C. Shpendi F
Bench (12)
20 E. Tavşan
5 L. Mendicino
30 S. Bastoni
17 E. Adamo
18 S. van Hooijdonk
8 S. Hraiech
1 M. Pisseri
15 A. Ciofi
26 M. Piacentini
4 R. Chiarello
73 S. Pieraccini
13 R. Celia

Coach: M. Mignani

Cosenza

3-4-1-2
1 A. Micai G
55 A. Hristov D
23 M. Venturi D
17 A. Caporale D
16 M. Ricciardi M
28 C. Kouan M
39 C. Kourfalidis M
31 G. Ricci M
34 A. Florenzi F
30 S. Mazzocchi F
21 M. Zilli F
Bench (12)
32 L. Strizzolo
10 T. Fumagalli
20 A. Rizzo Pinna
24 J. Mauri
19 R. Ciervo
9 M. Sankoh
22 T. Vettorel
29 F. Sgarbi
11 T. D'Orazio
5 M. Camporese
15 C. Dalle Mura
4 P. Martino

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,43
B
4,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Galipò · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.