Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sassuolo
Cagliari
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | +67 | +46.1 | 92 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | +27 | +19.3 | 74 |
| 3 |
Bologna
|
36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | +24 | +11.1 | 67 |
| 4 |
Juventus
|
36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | +21 | +26.0 | 67 |
| 5 |
Atalanta
|
36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | +28 | +14.8 | 66 |
| 6 |
Roma
|
36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | +19 | +10.6 | 60 |
| 7 |
Lazio
|
36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | +10 | +5.0 | 59 |
| 8 |
Fiorentina
|
36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | +13 | +4.6 | 54 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | +3 | +2.3 | 53 |
| 10 |
Napoli
|
37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | +7 | +21.9 | 52 |
| 11 |
Genoa
|
36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | -1 | -7.3 | 46 |
| 12 |
Monza
|
36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | -9 | -15.4 | 45 |
| 13 |
Lecce
|
37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -22 | -9.7 | 37 |
| 14 |
Verona
|
36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | -14 | -11.8 | 34 |
| 15 |
Udinese
|
36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | -17 | -9.9 | 33 |
| 16 |
Cagliari
|
36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | -27 | -12.9 | 33 |
| 17 |
Frosinone
|
36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -25 | -14.5 | 32 |
| 18 |
Empoli
|
36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -26 | -18.0 | 32 |
| 19 |
Sassuolo
|
36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -30 | -20.5 | 29 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | -48 | -41.9 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Erlić
D
F. Missori
M
U. Račić
M
K. Thorstvedt
M
J. Doig
M
A. Pinamonti
F
A. Laurienté
F
Coach: D. Ballardini
S. Scuffet
G
G. Zappa
D
Y. Mina
D
A. Dossena
D
T. Augello
D
I. Sulemana
M
A. Deiola
M
E. Shomurodov
M
G. Gaetano
M
Coach: C. Ranieri
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Genoa
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Inter
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Lecce
Sassuolo
Milan
D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.