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Serie B

Referee: M Monaldi

Bari

T S S T T

1–1

Full-time

Spezia

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 23%

26%

19%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

37%

48%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 12. · Spezia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	28	17	8	3	+25	59
2	Venezia	27	15	6	6	+17	51
3	Cremonese	27	14	8	5	+17	50
4	Como	27	14	7	6	+8	49
5	Palermo	28	13	7	8	+13	46
6	Catanzaro	27	13	6	8	+7	45
7	Brescia	28	9	11	8	+3	38
8	Modena	27	8	12	7	-3	36
9	Cittadella	27	10	6	11	-4	36
10	Sudtirol	28	9	8	11	-2	35
11	Cosenza	27	8	9	10	+1	33
12	Bari	27	7	12	8	-5	33
13	Sampdoria	27	9	6	12	-7	33
14	Reggiana	27	6	14	7	-3	32
15	Pisa	27	7	10	10	-2	31
16	Ternana	28	7	8	13	-5	29
17	Ascoli	27	6	9	12	-6	27
18	Spezia	27	5	11	11	-15	26
19	FeralpiSalo	27	6	6	15	-13	24
20	Lecco	28	5	6	17	-26	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	14	8	6	0	+12	30
2	Venezia	14	9	3	2	+11	30
3	Catanzaro	14	8	3	3	+9	27
4	Palermo	14	8	1	5	+10	25
5	Como	13	7	4	2	+6	25
6	Cremonese	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Cittadella	14	7	2	5	+4	23
8	Bari	13	5	6	2	+2	21
9	Brescia	14	5	5	4	+2	20
10	Modena	13	5	4	4	+1	19
11	Sudtirol	14	5	3	6	-1	18
12	Cosenza	13	4	4	5	+4	16
13	Pisa	14	3	6	5	-1	15
14	Ternana	15	3	6	6	-1	15
15	Reggiana	14	2	9	3	-3	15
16	Sampdoria	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Ascoli	13	3	5	5	+0	14
18	FeralpiSalo	13	3	3	7	-2	12
19	Spezia	13	2	6	5	-3	12
20	Lecco	13	3	1	9	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	14	9	2	3	+13	29
2	Cremonese	13	8	3	2	+9	27
3	Como	14	7	3	4	+2	24
4	Venezia	13	6	3	4	+6	21
5	Palermo	14	5	6	3	+3	21
6	Brescia	14	4	6	4	+1	18
7	Catanzaro	13	5	3	5	-2	18
8	Sampdoria	13	5	3	5	-3	18
9	Reggiana	13	4	5	4	+0	17
10	Sudtirol	14	4	5	5	-1	17
11	Cosenza	14	4	5	5	-3	17
12	Modena	14	3	8	3	-4	17
13	Pisa	13	4	4	5	-1	16
14	Ternana	13	4	2	7	-4	14
15	Spezia	14	3	5	6	-12	14
16	Ascoli	14	3	4	7	-6	13
17	Cittadella	13	3	4	6	-8	13
18	Bari	14	2	6	6	-7	12
19	FeralpiSalo	14	3	3	8	-11	12
20	Lecco	15	2	5	8	-14	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.