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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Tirol
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Hartberg
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
15%
45%
Points per game
0,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
50%
65%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Tirol 11. · Hartberg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 20 13 5 2 +31 44
2 Sturm Graz 20 12 6 2 +18 42
3 LASK 20 9 7 4 +9 34
4 Hartberg 20 9 6 5 +6 33
5 A. Klagenfurt 20 8 9 3 +3 33
6 SK Rapid 20 8 7 5 +17 31
7 Wolfsberger AC 20 8 5 7 +1 29
8 Austria Vienna 20 7 6 7 +0 27
9 BW Linz 20 4 7 9 -13 19
10 Altach 20 4 5 11 -13 17
11 Tirol 20 3 2 15 -21 11
12 A. Lustenau 20 1 3 16 -38 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.