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Svenska Cupen
Referee: K Sjöberg
Oster
T T S T S
5–0
Full-time
IFK Luleå
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oster IFK Luleå
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-2,3
This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
3,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oster 16. · IFK Luleå 27.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brommapojkarna 4 3 1 0 +9 10
2 Halmstad 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Malmo FF 3 3 0 0 +12 9
4 Djurgarden 3 3 0 0 +11 9
5 AIK 3 3 0 0 +6 9
6 Goteborg 3 3 0 0 +4 9
7 Mjallby 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 Varnamo 4 3 0 1 +3 9
9 Norrkoping 3 2 1 0 +10 7
10 Degerfors 3 2 1 0 +8 7
11 Sirius 3 2 1 0 +8 7
12 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +4 7
13 Trelleborg 4 2 1 1 +1 7
14 Elfsborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Hammarby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
16 Oster 3 2 0 1 +2 6
17 Varberg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
18 Kalmar 3 2 0 1 +2 6
19 Vasteras SK 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 +1 6
21 United Nordic 4 2 0 2 +0 6
22 Orebro SK 3 2 0 1 +0 6
23 Ostersunds FK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
24 Orgryte 3 2 0 1 -2 6
25 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 GAIS 3 1 1 1 -1 4
27 IFK Luleå 4 1 1 2 -11 4
28 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +10 3
29 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
30 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +4 3
31 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Skövde AIK 3 1 0 2 +2 3
33 Jönköpings BK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Karlshamn 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Helsingborg 4 1 0 3 +0 3
40 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Tyresö W 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 IK brage 3 0 3 0 +0 3
45 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Sundsvall 3 1 0 2 -1 3
47 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Jonsered 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Zenith 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Lund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Gefle IF 3 1 0 2 -2 3
52 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Lucksta 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Utsikten 3 1 0 2 -4 3
60 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
65 Franke 2 0 1 1 -5 1
66 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
67 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Jonkopings Sodra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oster IFK Luleå
1–0 M. Adolfsson
36′
39′
🟨 A. Sundberg
2–0 I. Kričak
43′
Half-time 2–0
50′
🔁 M. Norrbin
↦ A. Sundberg
H. Pijaca 🔁
↦ T. Varmanen
59′
D. Ljung 🔁
↦ M. Kusu
69′
71′
🔁 A. Olsson
↦ A. Grape
71′
🔁 J. Alatalo
↦ V. Drugge
A. Aliev 🔁
↦ V. Rodić
73′
77′
🔁 A. Forsman
↦ J. Sochor
3–0 A. Aliev
83′
4–0 A. Aliev
85′
5–0 N. Söderberg
87′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Oster

C. Lundahl Persson
I. Kričak
T. Varmanen
L. Bergquist
M. Adolfsson
V. Rodić
M. Kusu
A. Herdonsson
A. Mörfelt
A. Wiberg
N. Söderberg
Bench (8)
H. Pijaca
D. Ljung
A. Aliev
D. Seger
O. Gabrielsson
R. Adjei
R. Wallinder
Þ. Þórisson

Coach: M. Foyston

IFK Luleå

L. Soini
A. Sundberg
R. Aspholm
E. Engström
M. Nilsson
H. Drugge
H. Bergman
S. Chrétien
V. Drugge
A. Grape
J. Sochor
Bench (6)
M. Norrbin
A. Olsson
J. Alatalo
A. Forsman
L. Henriksson
N. Nilsson

Coach: D. Engberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Sjöberg · 37 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.