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Super League

Aris

U U S S T

3–3

Full-time

AEK

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,5

4,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,0

This season — Super League · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 59%

48%

69%

Points per game

1,6

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

40%

65%

Both score Ø 47%

40%

54%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,4

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

4 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 9

0 Corners 8

12 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris 6. · AEK 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	26	18	7	1	+36	61
2	Olympiakos	27	19	3	5	+35	60
3	PAOK	27	18	4	5	+42	58
4	Panathinaikos	27	18	4	5	+41	58
5	Aris Thessalonikis	25	12	5	8	+10	41
6	Aris	25	12	5	8	+10	41
7	Lamia	27	10	8	9	-6	38
8	Asteras Tripolis	27	10	4	13	-9	34
9	Atromitos	27	7	9	11	-15	30
10	OFI Crete	27	6	9	12	-18	27
11	Panserraikos	27	5	10	12	-19	25
12	Volos NFC	27	4	8	15	-26	20
13	Panetolikos	27	4	7	16	-27	19
14	Kifisia	27	3	10	14	-29	19
15	Giannina	27	3	9	15	-25	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	14	11	3	0	+24	36
2	Panathinaikos	14	10	3	1	+27	33
3	PAOK	14	10	3	1	+24	33
4	Olympiakos	13	10	0	3	+23	30
5	Aris Thessalonikis	12	8	2	2	+10	26
6	Aris	12	8	2	2	+10	26
7	Lamia	13	7	2	4	+3	23
8	OFI Crete	13	6	4	3	+5	22
9	Asteras Tripolis	14	6	3	5	-3	21
10	Atromitos	14	4	6	4	-4	18
11	Panserraikos	13	3	7	3	-2	16
12	Panetolikos	14	4	3	7	-11	15
13	Volos NFC	14	3	3	8	-11	12
14	Giannina	13	2	5	6	-8	11
15	Kifisia	13	2	5	6	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	9	3	2	+12	30
2	PAOK	13	8	1	4	+18	25
3	Panathinaikos	13	8	1	4	+14	25
4	AEK	12	7	4	1	+12	25
5	Aris Thessalonikis	13	4	3	6	+0	15
6	Aris	13	4	3	6	+0	15
7	Lamia	14	3	6	5	-9	15
8	Asteras Tripolis	13	4	1	8	-6	13
9	Atromitos	13	3	3	7	-11	12
10	Panserraikos	14	2	3	9	-17	9
11	Volos NFC	13	1	5	7	-15	8
12	Kifisia	14	1	5	8	-20	8
13	Giannina	14	1	4	9	-17	7
14	OFI Crete	14	0	5	9	-23	5
15	Panetolikos	13	0	4	9	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.