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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Zurich
U T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Young Boys
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
56%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,14 xG 0,86
43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 8
5 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 5. · Young Boys 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 25 15 6 4 +28 +1.9 51
2 Servette 26 14 8 4 +16 +16.9 50
3 Lugano 26 12 4 10 +7 +5.2 40
4 St. Gallen 26 12 4 10 +5 +12.5 40
5 Zurich 25 10 9 6 +10 +0.1 39
6 Luzern 26 11 4 11 -3 +2.2 37
7 Winterthur 25 9 7 9 -5 -4.9 34
8 Basel 26 9 4 13 -7 -3.9 31
9 Yverdon 25 8 6 11 -18 -13.9 30
10 Grasshoppers 26 8 5 13 -1 -5.9 29
11 Lausanne 26 7 8 11 -5 +3.6 29
12 Lausanne Ouchy 26 3 7 16 -27 -13.9 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Young Boys
1–0 I. Mathew
1′
Cheick Oumar Conde 🟨
6′
Half-time 1–0
Amadou Dante 🟨
56′
63′
🟨 Ebrima Colley
64′
🔁 Ł. Łakomy
↦ S. Lauper
64′
🔁 C. Itten
↦ E. Colley
64′
🔁 J. Hadjam
↦ N. Persson
F. Rohner 🔁
↦ J. Okita
71′
82′
🔁 Joël Monteiro
↦ C. Niasse
82′
🔁 J. Mvuka
↦ M. Elia
D. Afriyie 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
83′
I. Santini 🔁
↦ B. Krasniqi
92′
C. Ligue 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Conceição
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
2 L. Kamberi D
24 N. Katić D
31 M. Kryeziu D
44 A. Dante D
17 C. Conde M
12 I. Mathew M
27 Rodrigo Conceição M
7 B. Krasniqi M
11 J. Okita M
10 A. Marchesano F
Bench (9)
23 F. Rohner
18 D. Afriyie
9 I. Santini
20 C. Ligue
14 N. Di Giusto
22 A. Oko-Flex
19 N. Boranijašević
5 F. Daprelà
1 Ž. Kostadinović

Coach: M. Ural

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
17 S. Janko D
13 M. Camara D
28 F. Lustenberger D
19 N. Persson D
39 D. Males M
30 S. Lauper M
11 E. Colley M
20 C. Niasse M
35 S. Ganvoula F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (9)
8 Ł. Łakomy
9 C. Itten
3 J. Hadjam
77 Joël Monteiro
32 J. Mvuka
27 L. Blum
1 A. Racioppi
5 A. Husic
4 A. Amenda

Coach: R. Wicky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.