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Svenska Cupen

Referee: R Hasani

Gefle IF

S T T

1–2

Full-time

Orebro SK

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gefle IF Orebro SK

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gefle IF 51. · Orebro SK 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	4	3	1	0	+12	10
2	Brommapojkarna	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Halmstad	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Djurgarden	3	3	0	0	+11	9
5	Oster	4	3	0	1	+7	9
6	AIK	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Goteborg	3	3	0	0	+4	9
8	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+4	9
9	Varnamo	4	3	0	1	+3	9
10	Degerfors	4	2	2	0	+8	8
11	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+10	7
12	Sirius	3	2	1	0	+8	7
13	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+4	7
14	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	GAIS	4	2	1	1	+2	7
16	Varberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
17	Trelleborg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
18	Hammarby	3	2	0	1	+3	6
19	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
21	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	+1	6
22	United Nordic	4	2	0	2	+0	6
23	Orebro SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
24	Ostersunds FK	4	2	0	2	-1	6
25	Orgryte	4	2	0	2	-5	6
26	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	IFK Luleå	5	1	1	3	-16	4
28	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+10	3
29	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
30	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	+2	3
33	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Helsingborg	4	1	0	3	+0	3
40	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	IK brage	3	0	3	0	+0	3
45	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Sundsvall	3	1	0	2	-1	3
47	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Jonsered	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Lund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
52	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-4	3
60	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Franke	2	0	1	1	-5	1
66	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
67	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
96	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	AIK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Norrkoping	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Halmstad	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	IFK Luleå	4	1	1	2	-11	4
11	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
12	Oster	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Ostersunds FK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	United Nordic	3	1	0	2	-3	3
35	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
36	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
37	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	IK brage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
41	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
42	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Lund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Husqvarna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Varberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Jonsered	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Franke	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
73	IFK Österåker	1	0	0	1	-6	0
74	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Varberg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Varnamo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Sirius	2	1	1	0	+6	4
10	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+5	4
11	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Trelleborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	GAIS	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
15	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
16	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+6	3
17	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	+2	3
25	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	+1	3
31	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	+0	3
39	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Sundsvall	3	1	0	2	-1	3
41	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
43	Ostersunds FK	3	1	0	2	-2	3
44	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-4	3
45	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-6	3
46	IK brage	2	0	2	0	+0	2
47	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	IFK Luleå	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gefle IF Orebro SK

J. Hjelte 🔁

↦ S. Friman

8′

A. Yakoub 🟨

9′

1–0 J. Hjelte ⚽

43′

Half-time 1–0

A. Hjelm 🔁

↦ Iu Ranera

46′

69′

🔁 V. Backman

↦ V. Valgeirsson

73′

🔁 C. Swartling

↦ L. Shlimon

A. Lättman 🔁

↦ Antonio Yakoub

74′

V. Hyseni 🔁

↦ L. Englund

74′

🔁 N. Bergmark

↦ E. McCue

77′

⚽ S. Kroon 1–1

84′

🔁 O. Käck

↦ S. Kroon

84′

⚽ K. Holmberg 1–2

85′

🔁 B. Fousseni

↦ T. Bjørnstad

L. Browning 🟨

86′

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gefle IF

T. Johansson

Y. Rafael

K. Persson

P. Ekman

Iu Ranera

L. Browning-Lagerfeldt

A. Edqvist

S. Friman

C. Capotondi

L. Englund

Antonio Yakoub

Bench (6)

J. Hjelte

A. Hjelm

A. Lättman

V. Hyseni

I. Ädel

O. Jonsson

Coach: M. Bengtsson

Orebro SK

M. Påhlsson

J. Modig

E. McCue

V. Valgeirsson

T. Bjørnstad

M. Saeid

S. Kroon

A. Bark

L. Shlimon

E. Barsoum

K. Holmberg

Bench (8)

V. Backman

C. Swartling

N. Bergmark

O. Käck

B. Fousseni

M. Mokédé

T. Hansemon

K. Strindholm

Coach: C. Järdler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

24. Feb CUP 2 years ago

18. Feb CUP 2 years ago

22. Aug CUP 3 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Gefle IF

Orebro SK

Odds comparison

Recent matches