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Serie B
Referee: M Gualtieri
Ascoli
T T U S U
0–0
Full-time
Reggiana
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
37%
41%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
59%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
22 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 17. · Reggiana 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 28 17 8 3 +25 59
2 Venezia 27 15 6 6 +17 51
3 Cremonese 27 14 8 5 +17 50
4 Como 27 14 7 6 +8 49
5 Palermo 28 13 7 8 +13 46
6 Catanzaro 27 13 6 8 +7 45
7 Brescia 28 9 11 8 +3 38
8 Modena 27 8 12 7 -3 36
9 Cittadella 27 10 6 11 -4 36
10 Sudtirol 28 9 8 11 -2 35
11 Cosenza 27 8 9 10 +1 33
12 Bari 27 7 12 8 -5 33
13 Sampdoria 27 9 6 12 -7 33
14 Reggiana 27 6 14 7 -3 32
15 Pisa 27 7 10 10 -2 31
16 Ternana 28 7 8 13 -5 29
17 Ascoli 27 6 9 12 -6 27
18 Spezia 27 5 11 11 -15 26
19 FeralpiSalo 27 6 6 15 -13 24
20 Lecco 28 5 6 17 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli Reggiana
15′
🔁 G. Satalino
↦ F. Bardi
Samuel Giovane 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 P. Szymiński
↦ M. Sampirisi
Francesco Di Tacchio 🟨
47′
F. Caligara 🔁
↦ S. Giovane
56′
Pablo Rodríguez 🔁
↦ S. DUffizi
56′
B. Bayeye 🔁
↦ M. Falzerano
63′
67′
🔁 M. Portanova
↦ L. Cigarini
Emiliano Viviano 🟥
72′
D. Vásquez 🔁
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
74′
R. Celia 🔁
↦ K. Zedadka
74′
75′
🟨 Manolo Portanova
77′
🟨 Natan Girma
80′
🔁 F. Melegoni
↦ J. Antiste
80′
🔁 S. Pettinari
↦ N. Girma
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ascoli

3-5-2
2 E. Viviano G
16 S. Väisänen D
55 G. Bellusci D
3 V. Mantovani D
23 M. Falzerano M
41 L. Valzania M
18 F. Di Tacchio M
8 S. Giovane M
7 K. Zedadka M
90 Pedro Mendes F
15 S. D'Uffizi F
Bench (12)
10 F. Caligara
99 Pablo Rodríguez
40 B. Bayeye
32 D. Vásquez
13 R. Celia
11 J. Streng
20 T. Milanese
14 D. Quaranta
94 Y. Maiga
12 L. Bolletta
33 Eric Botteghin
29 D. Ďuriš

Coach: F. Castori

Reggiana

3-4-2-1
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
4 P. Rozzio D
27 A. Marcandalli D
15 R. Fiamozzi M
8 L. Cigarini M
42 A. Bianco M
3 E. Pieragnolo M
28 J. Antiste F
80 N. Girma F
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (12)
12 G. Satalino
25 P. Szymiński
90 M. Portanova
72 F. Melegoni
23 S. Pettinari
7 Muhamed Djamanca
16 T. Reinhart
17 L. Libutti
14 S. Nuhu
18 O. Okwonkwo
20 Álex Blanco
29 M. Pajač

Coach: A. Nesta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U ✓
2,94
B
3,64
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,70
U2,5 ✓
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Gualtieri · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.