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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Blackburn
S T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Watford
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Watford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
45%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
77%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
59%
45%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,82 xG 2,07
56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 12. · Watford 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 22 18 1 3 +28 +18.3 55
2 Ipswich 23 16 4 3 +15 +10.4 52
3 Leeds 22 12 6 4 +18 +17.9 42
4 Southampton 21 11 6 4 +7 +10.6 39
5 West Brom 21 10 6 5 +13 +3.7 36
6 Hull 23 10 6 7 +6 +6.7 36
7 Sunderland 22 10 3 9 +8 +13.1 33
8 Bristol City 23 9 5 9 +0 +1.5 32
9 Preston 23 9 5 9 -11 -9.4 32
10 Watford 22 8 7 7 +8 +2.7 31
11 Norwich 21 9 4 8 +1 -3.3 31
12 Blackburn 22 10 1 11 -4 -0.9 31
13 Cardiff 22 9 3 10 +1 -6.8 30
14 Middlesbrough 22 9 3 10 +0 +8.9 30
15 Swansea 23 7 7 9 +0 -5.7 28
16 Coventry 22 6 9 7 +3 +6.3 27
17 Plymouth 22 7 5 10 -1 -10.2 26
18 Birmingham 22 7 5 10 -6 -3.9 26
19 Stoke 22 6 5 11 -9 -1.9 23
20 Millwall 22 5 7 10 -7 -7.3 22
21 Huddersfield 22 4 10 8 -15 -11.4 22
22 QPR 22 5 5 12 -12 -8.6 20
23 Sheffield Weds 22 4 4 14 -19 -6.1 16
24 Rotherham 22 2 7 13 -24 -24.4 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Watford
1–0 A. Wharton
H. Carter
3′
Jake Garrett 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Andrews
↦ T. Dele-Bashiru
46′
🔁 Y. Asprilla
↦ Matheus Martins
H. Leonard 🔁
↦ N. Ennis
61′
65′
🟨 Wesley Hoedt
J. Hill 🔁
↦ D. Hyam
67′
72′
🔁 G. Chakvetadze
↦ J. Livermore
72′
🔁 M. Rajović
↦ V. Bayo
81′
🟨 Mileta Rajović
83′
🔁 R. Healey
↦ I. Koné
83′
M. Rajović 1–1
87′
🟨 Ryan Andrews
87′
R. Healey 1–2
Andrew Moran 🟨
89′
D. Markanday 🔁
↦ A. Moran
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
12 L. Wahlstedt G
17 H. Carter D
5 D. Hyam D
16 S. Wharton D
27 L. Travis D
23 A. Wharton M
6 S. Tronstad M
24 A. Moran M
30 J. Garrett M
7 A. Sigurðsson M
14 N. Ennis F
Bench (9)
20 H. Leonard
4 J. Hill
18 D. Markanday
33 S. Telalović
15 P. Gamble
41 L. Duru
37 T. Bloxham
34 J. Hilton
28 C. Weston

Coach: J. Tomasson

Watford

4-1-4-1
26 B. Hamer G
24 T. Dele-Bashiru D
5 R. Porteous D
4 W. Hoedt D
6 J. Lewis D
8 J. Livermore M
37 Matheus Martins M
39 E. Kayembe M
11 I. Koné M
12 K. Sema M
19 V. Bayo F
Bench (9)
45 R. Andrews
18 Y. Asprilla
16 G. Chakvetadze
9 M. Rajović
14 R. Healey
1 D. Bachmann
3 F. Sierralta
7 T. Ince
15 M. Pollock

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,56
B ✓
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.