Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Blackburn
Watford
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Leicester
|
22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | +28 | +18.3 | 55 |
| 2 |
Ipswich
|
23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | +15 | +10.4 | 52 |
| 3 |
Leeds
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +18 | +17.9 | 42 |
| 4 |
Southampton
|
21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +7 | +10.6 | 39 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +13 | +3.7 | 36 |
| 6 |
Hull
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +6 | +6.7 | 36 |
| 7 |
Sunderland
|
22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | +8 | +13.1 | 33 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +0 | +1.5 | 32 |
| 9 |
Preston
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -11 | -9.4 | 32 |
| 10 |
Watford
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +8 | +2.7 | 31 |
| 11 |
Norwich
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +1 | -3.3 | 31 |
| 12 |
Blackburn
|
22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | -4 | -0.9 | 31 |
| 13 |
Cardiff
|
22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | +1 | -6.8 | 30 |
| 14 |
Middlesbrough
|
22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | +0 | +8.9 | 30 |
| 15 |
Swansea
|
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | +0 | -5.7 | 28 |
| 16 |
Coventry
|
22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | +3 | +6.3 | 27 |
| 17 |
Plymouth
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -1 | -10.2 | 26 |
| 18 |
Birmingham
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -6 | -3.9 | 26 |
| 19 |
Stoke
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -9 | -1.9 | 23 |
| 20 |
Millwall
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -7 | -7.3 | 22 |
| 21 |
Huddersfield
|
22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | -15 | -11.4 | 22 |
| 22 |
QPR
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -12 | -8.6 | 20 |
| 23 |
Sheffield Weds
|
22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -19 | -6.1 | 16 |
| 24 |
Rotherham
|
22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | -24 | -24.4 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Wahlstedt
G
H. Carter
D
D. Hyam
D
L. Travis
D
A. Wharton
M
A. Moran
M
J. Garrett
M
A. Sigurðsson
M
Coach: J. Tomasson
T. Dele-Bashiru
D
W. Hoedt
D
E. Kayembe
M
V. Bayo
F
Coach: V. Ismaël
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Southampton
Blackburn
Blackburn
Bristol City
Blackburn
Leeds
Sheffield Weds
Blackburn
Blackburn
Birmingham
D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.