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Serie B
Referee: R Abisso
Ascoli
T S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Pisa
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
35%
41%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 12. · Pisa 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 34 20 8 6 +31 68
2 Genoa 34 19 10 5 +24 67
3 Bari 34 16 12 6 +21 60
4 Sudtirol 34 13 14 7 +4 53
5 Cagliari 35 12 15 8 +9 51
6 Parma 34 14 9 11 +5 51
7 Reggina 34 15 4 15 +5 49
8 Pisa 34 11 13 10 +10 46
9 Palermo 35 10 15 10 -1 45
10 Modena 34 12 8 14 -1 44
11 Como 35 9 16 10 -2 43
12 Ascoli 34 11 10 13 -6 43
13 Ternana 35 11 10 14 -11 43
14 Venezia 34 11 9 14 -4 42
15 Cosenza 34 9 11 14 -21 38
16 Cittadella 34 8 13 13 -13 37
17 Perugia 35 9 9 17 -7 36
18 Spal 35 7 14 14 -9 35
19 Brescia 34 8 11 15 -20 35
20 Benevento 34 6 13 15 -14 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli Pisa
21′
🟨 Pietro Beruatto
Marcel Büchel 🟨
24′
26′
🟨 Marius Marin
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Pedro Mendes
F. Caligara
53′
59′
🟨 Matteo Tramoni
C. Gondo 🔁
↦ F. Dionisi
59′
D. Marsura 🔁
↦ F. Forte
63′
S. Giovane 🔁
↦ M. Büchel
64′
66′
🔁 E. Gliozzi
↦ P. Beruatto
66′
🔁 Tomás Esteves
↦ A. Calabresi
2–0 D. Marsura
73′
78′
🔁 M. Gargiulo
↦ M. Tramoni
79′
🔁 G. Masucci
↦ S. Moreo
F. Proia 🔁
↦ F. Caligara
80′
M. Eramo 🔁
↦ Pedro Mendes
80′
82′
G. Masucci 2–1
E. Gliozzi
86′
🔁 L. Tramoni
↦ M. Marin
92′
🟨 Olimpiu Moruțan
Eric Botteghin 🟨
95′
Davide Marsura 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,48
U
3,06
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,29
U2,5
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.