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Serie B

Referee: M Marchetti

Ascoli

T T U T T

1–0

Full-time

Perugia

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 28%

26%

30%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

43%

39%

Both score Ø 48%

57%

39%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 15. · Perugia 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	24	17	3	4	+26	54
2	Genoa	24	12	7	5	+9	43
3	Reggina	24	12	3	9	+10	39
4	Sudtirol	24	10	9	5	+1	39
5	Bari	23	9	9	5	+13	36
6	Cagliari	24	9	8	7	+2	35
7	Pisa	24	8	10	6	+10	34
8	Modena	24	10	4	10	+3	34
9	Palermo	24	9	7	8	-2	34
10	Parma	23	9	6	8	+4	33
11	Ternana	23	9	6	8	-3	33
12	Venezia	24	7	6	11	-5	27
13	Como	24	6	9	9	-8	27
14	Cittadella	24	6	9	9	-10	27
15	Ascoli	23	6	8	9	-4	26
16	Perugia	23	7	5	11	-4	26
17	Brescia	24	6	7	11	-15	25
18	Spal	24	5	9	10	-4	24
19	Benevento	24	5	8	11	-7	23
20	Cosenza	23	5	7	11	-16	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Cagliari	13	8	3	2	+6	27
3	Parma	12	7	1	4	+7	22
4	Genoa	12	5	6	1	+6	21
5	Palermo	12	6	3	3	+4	21
6	Ternana	11	6	3	2	+4	21
7	Reggina	12	6	2	4	+8	20
8	Sudtirol	13	4	7	2	+1	19
9	Modena	11	5	3	3	+7	18
10	Pisa	11	5	2	4	+7	17
11	Cosenza	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Como	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Brescia	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	Perugia	11	4	3	4	+0	15
15	Bari	11	3	5	3	+6	14
16	Cittadella	11	3	5	3	-2	14
17	Spal	12	3	3	6	+0	12
18	Venezia	13	3	3	7	-6	12
19	Ascoli	11	2	4	5	-4	10
20	Benevento	12	2	3	7	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	12	7	1	4	+8	22
2	Bari	12	6	4	2	+7	22
3	Genoa	12	7	1	4	+3	22
4	Sudtirol	11	6	2	3	+0	20
5	Reggina	12	6	1	5	+2	19
6	Pisa	13	3	8	2	+3	17
7	Ascoli	12	4	4	4	+0	16
8	Modena	13	5	1	7	-4	16
9	Venezia	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Benevento	12	3	5	4	+0	14
11	Palermo	12	3	4	5	-6	13
12	Cittadella	13	3	4	6	-8	13
13	Spal	12	2	6	4	-4	12
14	Ternana	12	3	3	6	-7	12
15	Parma	11	2	5	4	-3	11
16	Perugia	12	3	2	7	-4	11
17	Como	12	2	5	5	-7	11
18	Brescia	11	2	3	6	-13	9
19	Cagliari	11	1	5	5	-4	8
20	Cosenza	11	1	3	7	-16	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.