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Serie B

Ascoli

T T U T T

0–1

Full-time

Perugia

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 34%

32%

36%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

61%

46%

Both score Ø 52%

61%

43%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 5

20 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 17. · Perugia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	29	22	6	1	+40	72
2	Crotone	29	15	5	9	+14	50
3	Frosinone	29	13	9	7	+10	48
4	Spezia	29	13	8	8	+9	47
5	Cittadella	29	13	7	9	+5	46
6	Pordenone	29	13	7	9	+3	46
7	Salernitana	29	12	7	10	+4	43
8	Chievo	29	10	12	7	+7	42
9	Empoli	29	10	10	9	-2	40
10	Virtus Entella	29	10	8	11	-2	38
11	Pescara	29	11	5	13	-4	38
12	Pisa	29	9	10	10	+0	37
13	Perugia	28	10	6	12	-7	36
14	Juve Stabia	29	10	6	13	-10	36
15	Cremonese	29	8	9	12	-3	33
16	Venezia	29	7	12	10	-7	33
17	Ascoli	28	9	5	14	-7	32
18	Cosenza	29	6	9	14	-5	27
19	Trapani	29	5	11	13	-21	26
20	Livorno	29	4	6	19	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	15	12	3	0	+28	39
2	Crotone	15	9	4	2	+14	31
3	Pordenone	15	9	4	2	+11	31
4	Frosinone	14	9	3	2	+13	30
5	Spezia	15	9	3	3	+10	30
6	Salernitana	14	8	5	1	+11	29
7	Juve Stabia	15	8	2	5	+2	26
8	Empoli	15	6	7	2	+7	25
9	Virtus Entella	14	7	4	3	+5	25
10	Chievo	14	7	3	4	+7	24
11	Ascoli	13	7	3	3	+6	24
12	Perugia	15	7	3	5	+2	24
13	Pescara	15	6	5	4	+7	23
14	Pisa	15	6	5	4	+3	23
15	Cremonese	14	5	4	5	+3	19
16	Cittadella	15	5	4	6	-3	19
17	Trapani	14	3	6	5	-2	15
18	Cosenza	14	3	4	7	-4	13
19	Venezia	14	2	5	7	-8	11
20	Livorno	14	3	2	9	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	14	10	3	1	+12	33
2	Cittadella	14	8	3	3	+8	27
3	Venezia	15	5	7	3	+1	22
4	Crotone	14	6	1	7	+0	19
5	Chievo	15	3	9	3	+0	18
6	Frosinone	15	4	6	5	-3	18
7	Spezia	14	4	5	5	-1	17
8	Pordenone	14	4	3	7	-8	15
9	Empoli	14	4	3	7	-9	15
10	Pescara	14	5	0	9	-11	15
11	Cosenza	15	3	5	7	-1	14
12	Pisa	14	3	5	6	-3	14
13	Cremonese	15	3	5	7	-6	14
14	Salernitana	15	4	2	9	-7	14
15	Virtus Entella	15	3	4	8	-7	13
16	Perugia	13	3	3	7	-9	12
17	Trapani	15	2	5	8	-19	11
18	Juve Stabia	14	2	4	8	-12	10
19	Ascoli	15	2	2	11	-13	8
20	Livorno	15	1	4	10	-11	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.