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Ligue 2
Referee: R Lissorgue
Rodez
U T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Nimes
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 19. · Nimes 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 22 13 8 1 +23 47
2 Sochaux 22 12 3 7 +16 39
3 Bordeaux 22 11 6 5 +15 39
4 Metz 22 10 6 6 +11 36
5 Grenoble 22 10 6 6 +5 36
6 Bastia 22 10 4 8 -2 34
7 Amiens 22 9 6 7 +2 33
8 Caen 22 8 8 6 +3 32
9 Quevilly Rouen 22 8 7 7 +2 31
10 Valenciennes 22 7 8 7 -3 29
11 Annecy 22 7 7 8 +2 28
12 Paris FC 22 7 7 8 -5 28
13 St Etienne 23 7 6 10 -5 27
14 Guingamp 22 7 6 9 -5 27
15 Laval 22 8 3 11 -7 27
16 Pau FC 22 6 8 8 -7 26
17 Nimes 22 6 4 12 -11 22
18 Dijon 23 5 6 12 -8 21
19 Rodez 22 4 8 10 -10 20
20 Niort 22 5 5 12 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Nimes
1–0 C. Dépres
7′
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–1
50′
R. Saïd 1–1
L. Mousset
K. Corredor 🔁
↦ C. Dépres
66′
L. Rajot 🔁
↦ M. Adeline
66′
J. Chougrani 🔁
↦ A. Abdennour
72′
75′
🔁 M. Tchokounté
↦ L. Mousset
78′
🟨 Nicolas Benezet
Joseph Mendes 🔁
↦ S. Soumano
82′
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ R. Boissier
83′
87′
🔁 Steve Ambri
↦ N. Benezet
87′
🔁 G. Fofana
↦ R. Saïd
93′
🟨 Steve Ambri
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rodez

3-4-1-2
16 L. M'Pasi G
2 É. Vandenabeele D
4 A. Abdennour D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
20 M. Senaya M
14 B. Danger M
6 R. Boissier M
28 A. Abdallah M
10 M. Adeline F
25 C. Dépres F
35 S. Soumano F
Bench (7)
12 K. Corredor
8 L. Rajot
21 J. Chougrani
11 Joseph Mendes
26 W. Younoussa
1 S. Cibois
9 Park Jung-Bin

Coach: D. Santini

Nimes

4-2-3-1
16 L. Dias G
17 R. Labonne D
4 M. de Gevigney D
19 N. Djiga D
97 P. Burner D
21 J. N'Guessan M
28 J. Lopy M
15 R. Saïd M
11 P. Pagis M
10 N. Benezet M
7 L. Mousset F
Bench (7)
18 M. Tchokounté
9 Steve Ambri
76 G. Fofana
2 K. Guessoum
1 A. Maraval
65 M. Koné
14 J. Thomasen

Coach: F. Bompard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
2,95
B
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Lissorgue · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.