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LaLiga2

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Las Palmas

U S S S U

3–0

Full-time

Lugo

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

19%

Points per game

1,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

23%

31%

Both score Ø 39%

35%

42%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

71% Possession 29%

23 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 2. · Lugo 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	27	13	11	3	+14	50
2	Las Palmas	26	13	10	3	+15	49
3	Alaves	27	14	7	6	+12	49
4	Granada	27	14	5	8	+16	47
5	Eibar	26	13	8	5	+8	47
6	Albacete	26	11	9	6	+5	42
7	Burgos	26	10	10	6	+7	40
8	Leganes	26	10	8	8	+3	38
9	Cartagena	26	9	7	10	-1	34
10	Huesca	26	8	10	8	-1	34
11	Tenerife	27	8	10	9	-2	34
12	Oviedo	26	9	7	10	-3	34
13	Villarreal B	27	9	7	11	-5	34
14	Mirandes	27	8	9	10	-3	33
15	Zaragoza	27	8	9	10	-3	33
16	Andorra	27	9	5	13	+1	32
17	Sp Gijon	26	7	11	8	-2	32
18	Santander	26	6	9	11	-5	27
19	Ponferradina	26	6	9	11	-9	27
20	Malaga	26	4	10	12	-11	22
21	Lugo	26	5	7	14	-14	22
22	Ibiza	26	4	6	16	-22	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	14	12	2	0	+26	38
2	Eibar	13	9	4	0	+12	31
3	Alaves	13	9	3	1	+12	30
4	Levante	14	8	4	2	+10	28
5	Leganes	14	8	4	2	+6	28
6	Huesca	13	7	5	1	+8	26
7	Las Palmas	13	7	4	2	+7	25
8	Mirandes	14	7	4	3	+5	25
9	Albacete	13	6	5	2	+8	23
10	Burgos	13	6	5	2	+7	23
11	Tenerife	13	6	5	2	+6	23
12	Sp Gijon	13	5	6	2	+6	21
13	Villarreal B	13	5	5	3	+4	20
14	Oviedo	13	6	2	5	+0	20
15	Andorra	13	6	1	6	+8	19
16	Zaragoza	13	4	6	3	+0	18
17	Cartagena	14	5	3	6	-2	18
18	Ponferradina	13	4	4	5	-2	16
19	Malaga	13	3	6	4	-4	15
20	Lugo	13	3	5	5	-1	14
21	Ibiza	13	3	4	6	-5	13
22	Santander	12	2	5	5	-3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	13	6	6	1	+8	24
2	Levante	13	5	7	1	+4	22
3	Alaves	14	5	4	5	+0	19
4	Albacete	13	5	4	4	-3	19
5	Burgos	13	4	5	4	+0	17
6	Cartagena	12	4	4	4	+1	16
7	Santander	14	4	4	6	-2	16
8	Eibar	13	4	4	5	-4	16
9	Zaragoza	14	4	3	7	-3	15
10	Oviedo	13	3	5	5	-3	14
11	Villarreal B	14	4	2	8	-9	14
12	Andorra	14	3	4	7	-7	13
13	Ponferradina	13	2	5	6	-7	11
14	Tenerife	14	2	5	7	-8	11
15	Sp Gijon	13	2	5	6	-8	11
16	Leganes	12	2	4	6	-3	10
17	Granada	13	2	3	8	-10	9
18	Mirandes	13	1	5	7	-8	8
19	Huesca	13	1	5	7	-9	8
20	Lugo	13	2	2	9	-13	8
21	Malaga	13	1	4	8	-7	7
22	Ibiza	13	1	2	10	-17	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.