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Serie B
Referee: R Abisso
Ascoli
U U T U S
0–1
Full-time
Reggina
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Reggina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 47%
61%
33%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 9. · Reggina 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 18 11 3 4 +14 36
2 Reggina 18 10 3 5 +13 33
3 Bari 18 7 9 2 +12 30
4 Genoa 18 8 6 4 +6 30
5 Pisa 18 6 8 4 +9 26
6 Parma 18 7 5 6 +5 26
7 Sudtirol 18 6 8 4 -1 26
8 Ternana 18 7 5 6 -1 26
9 Ascoli 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Brescia 19 6 7 6 -6 25
11 Palermo 19 6 6 7 -3 24
12 Benevento 18 5 7 6 -1 22
13 Modena 18 6 4 8 -2 22
14 Cagliari 18 5 7 6 -2 22
15 Spal 18 4 8 6 -1 20
16 Venezia 18 5 4 9 -5 19
17 Como 18 4 7 7 -7 19
18 Cittadella 18 4 7 7 -9 19
19 Cosenza 18 4 5 9 -13 17
20 Perugia 18 4 4 10 -10 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli Reggina
15′
🟨 Jérémy Ménez
Lorenco Šimić 🟨
34′
Federico Dionisi 🟨
40′
Danilo Quaranta 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
M. Falzerano 🔁
↦ F. Donati
54′
M. Büchel 🔁
↦ M. Eramo
59′
Cedric Gondo 🟨
62′
64′
R. Rivas 0–1
69′
🔁 E. Cicerelli
↦ L. Canotto
73′
🟨 Niccolò Pierozzi
Pedro Mendes 🔁
↦ F. Dionisi
76′
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ D. Quaranta
76′
76′
🔁 D. Liotti
↦ G. Fabbian
76′
🔁 G. Gori
↦ J. Ménez
79′
🔁 L. Crisetig
↦ Ž. Majer
80′
🔁 M. Camporese
↦ R. Rivas
90′
🟨 Gianluca Di Chiara
92′
🟨 Emanuele Cicerelli
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ascoli

3-5-2
1 N. Leali G
4 L. Šimić D
33 Eric Botteghin D
5 D. Quaranta D
20 F. Donati M
18 M. Collocolo M
27 M. Eramo M
8 F. Caligara M
21 S. Giordano M
15 C. Gondo F
9 F. Dionisi F
Bench (12)
23 M. Falzerano
77 M. Büchel
90 Pedro Mendes
7 C. Lungoyi
29 F. Palazzino
17 C. Adjapong
32 S. Giovane
13 E. Guarna
26 S. Bidaoui
55 G. Bellusci
44 A. Tavčar
2 A. Salvi

Coach: C. Bucchi

Reggina

4-3-3
22 S. Colombi G
27 N. Pierozzi D
3 T. Cionek D
28 R. Gagliolo D
17 G. Di Chiara D
20 Hernani M
37 Ž. Majer M
14 G. Fabbian M
31 L. Canotto F
7 J. Ménez F
99 R. Rivas F
Bench (12)
11 E. Cicerelli
94 D. Liotti
9 G. Gori
8 L. Crisetig
23 M. Camporese
6 G. Loiacono
1 F. Ravaglia
19 F. Santander
98 F. Giraudo
21 F. Ricci
13 D. Bouah
12 T. Aglietti

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,89
U
2,96
B ✓
2,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,39
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.