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Bundesliga

Referee: M Hameter

Salzburg

T S T S S

4–0

Full-time

A. Lustenau

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg A. Lustenau

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 57%

44%

69%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

2,1

1,4

Conceded

0,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

21 Shots 4

9 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 1

5 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 1. · A. Lustenau 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	16	12	3	1	+24	39
2	Sturm Graz	17	10	6	1	+16	36
3	LASK	16	7	6	3	+9	27
4	SK Rapid	17	7	3	7	+6	24
5	Tirol	16	7	3	6	+1	24
6	Austria Vienna	16	6	5	5	+0	23
7	A. Klagenfurt	16	6	3	7	-3	21
8	A. Lustenau	16	4	6	6	-5	18
9	Wolfsberger AC	16	5	2	9	-5	17
10	Altach	16	4	3	9	-14	15
11	Ried	16	3	4	9	-12	13
12	Hartberg	16	3	2	11	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	9	7	1	1	+10	22
2	Salzburg	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	LASK	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	A. Lustenau	8	3	3	2	-1	12
5	Tirol	8	3	3	2	-3	12
6	Austria Vienna	8	3	2	3	-1	11
7	SK Rapid	8	3	1	4	+1	10
8	Ried	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Altach	8	2	2	4	-4	8
10	A. Klagenfurt	8	2	1	5	-5	7
11	Hartberg	8	2	1	5	-8	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	8	1	1	6	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	7	0	1	+15	21
2	Sturm Graz	8	3	5	0	+6	14
3	SK Rapid	9	4	2	3	+5	14
4	A. Klagenfurt	8	4	2	2	+2	14
5	Wolfsberger AC	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	LASK	7	3	3	1	+6	12
7	Tirol	8	4	0	4	+4	12
8	Austria Vienna	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Altach	8	2	1	5	-10	7
10	A. Lustenau	8	1	3	4	-4	6
11	Ried	9	1	2	6	-9	5
12	Hartberg	8	1	1	6	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.