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Serie B

Referee: M Marcenaro

Perugia

U U T S S

3–3

Full-time

Palermo

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

26%

32%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

37%

32%

Both score Ø 40%

42%

37%

Average goals

2,1

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

36% Possession 64%

15 Shots 6

11 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

4 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 18. · Palermo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	19	12	3	4	+17	39
2	Reggina	19	11	3	5	+14	36
3	Genoa	19	9	6	4	+7	33
4	Bari	19	7	9	3	+11	30
5	Pisa	19	7	8	4	+10	29
6	Parma	19	7	6	6	+5	27
7	Sudtirol	19	6	8	5	-3	26
8	Ternana	19	7	5	7	-4	26
9	Ascoli	19	6	7	6	+1	25
10	Modena	19	7	4	8	+0	25
11	Cagliari	19	6	7	6	+0	25
12	Brescia	19	6	7	6	-6	25
13	Palermo	19	6	6	7	-3	24
14	Benevento	19	5	7	7	-3	22
15	Como	19	5	7	7	-5	22
16	Spal	19	4	8	7	-2	20
17	Venezia	19	5	5	9	-5	20
18	Perugia	19	5	4	10	-8	19
19	Cittadella	19	4	7	8	-11	19
20	Cosenza	19	4	5	10	-15	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	9	7	2	0	+13	23
2	Cagliari	10	5	3	2	+2	18
3	Reggina	9	5	2	2	+10	17
4	Pisa	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Parma	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Brescia	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Palermo	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Ternana	9	4	3	2	+2	15
9	Como	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Genoa	9	3	5	1	+3	14
11	Modena	9	3	3	3	+3	12
12	Sudtirol	10	2	6	2	-1	12
13	Bari	9	2	5	2	+4	11
14	Spal	10	3	2	5	+1	11
15	Cosenza	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Perugia	9	3	2	4	-4	11
17	Ascoli	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	Cittadella	9	2	4	3	-5	10
19	Benevento	10	2	3	5	-5	9
20	Venezia	10	2	2	6	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	10	5	4	1	+7	19
2	Genoa	10	6	1	3	+4	19
3	Reggina	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Frosinone	10	5	1	4	+4	16
5	Ascoli	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	Sudtirol	9	4	2	3	-2	14
7	Benevento	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Modena	10	4	1	5	-3	13
9	Pisa	10	2	6	2	+1	12
10	Venezia	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Parma	9	2	5	2	+2	11
12	Ternana	10	3	2	5	-6	11
13	Spal	9	1	6	2	-3	9
14	Palermo	9	2	3	4	-5	9
15	Cittadella	10	2	3	5	-6	9
16	Brescia	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Perugia	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Cagliari	9	1	4	4	-2	7
19	Como	9	1	4	4	-6	7
20	Cosenza	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.