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Serie B

Monza

U U T S S

1–0

Full-time

Lecce

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 45%

43%

46%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

34%

66%

Both score Ø 56%

46%

66%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 6

12 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monza 4. · Lecce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	35	17	16	2	+30	67
2	Lecce	35	16	13	6	+23	61
3	Salernitana	35	16	12	7	+6	60
4	Monza	35	15	13	7	+16	58
5	Venezia	35	15	11	9	+14	56
6	Cittadella	35	14	11	10	+14	53
7	Spal	35	12	14	9	+1	50
8	Chievo	35	12	13	10	+8	49
9	Reggina	35	12	12	11	+1	48
10	Brescia	35	12	11	12	+2	47
11	Cremonese	35	11	11	13	+0	44
12	Vicenza	35	10	14	11	-3	44
13	Pisa	35	10	14	11	-5	44
14	Frosinone	35	10	13	12	-9	43
15	Pordenone	35	9	14	12	+0	41
16	Ascoli	35	10	10	15	-10	40
17	Cosenza	35	6	17	12	-9	35
18	Reggiana	35	9	7	19	-23	34
19	Pescara	35	6	11	18	-26	29
20	Virtus Entella	35	4	11	20	-30	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	18	10	6	2	+11	36
2	Empoli	17	9	8	0	+18	35
3	Venezia	18	10	2	6	+9	32
4	Chievo	17	9	4	4	+12	31
5	Monza	17	8	6	3	+12	30
6	Cittadella	17	8	6	3	+10	30
7	Brescia	18	8	5	5	+8	29
8	Spal	17	7	6	4	+6	27
9	Pisa	17	6	9	2	+6	27
10	Reggina	17	8	3	6	+2	27
11	Lecce	18	6	8	4	+8	26
12	Ascoli	18	7	5	6	-3	26
13	Cremonese	18	6	6	6	+2	24
14	Reggiana	18	6	5	7	-3	23
15	Pordenone	17	4	10	3	+7	22
16	Vicenza	17	4	9	4	+0	21
17	Frosinone	18	4	8	6	-5	20
18	Cosenza	18	3	9	6	-2	18
19	Pescara	17	3	5	9	-9	14
20	Virtus Entella	18	3	4	11	-16	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	17	10	5	2	+15	35
2	Empoli	18	8	8	2	+12	32
3	Monza	18	7	7	4	+4	28
4	Venezia	17	5	9	3	+5	24
5	Salernitana	17	6	6	5	-5	24
6	Cittadella	18	6	5	7	+4	23
7	Vicenza	18	6	5	7	-3	23
8	Frosinone	17	6	5	6	-4	23
9	Spal	18	5	8	5	-5	23
10	Reggina	18	4	9	5	-1	21
11	Cremonese	17	5	5	7	-2	20
12	Pordenone	18	5	4	9	-7	19
13	Chievo	18	3	9	6	-4	18
14	Brescia	17	4	6	7	-6	18
15	Cosenza	17	3	8	6	-7	17
16	Pisa	18	4	5	9	-11	17
17	Pescara	18	3	6	9	-17	15
18	Ascoli	17	3	5	9	-7	14
19	Reggiana	17	3	2	12	-20	11
20	Virtus Entella	17	1	7	9	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.