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Serie B

Lecce

S U U U S

1–2

Full-time

Cittadella

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 48%

54%

42%

Average goals

2,5

2,1

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

17 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 4

16 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 1. · Cittadella 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	24	12	10	2	+20	46
2	Cremonese	25	13	7	5	+16	46
3	Pisa	25	12	10	3	+13	46
4	Monza	25	12	8	5	+13	44
5	Brescia	24	12	8	4	+13	44
6	Perugia	25	10	11	4	+8	41
7	Benevento	24	11	7	6	+12	40
8	Ascoli	24	11	6	7	+6	39
9	Frosinone	24	9	11	4	+12	38
10	Cittadella	24	9	8	7	+1	35
11	Como	24	8	10	6	+3	34
12	Reggina	24	9	5	10	-8	32
13	Ternana	25	8	7	10	-4	31
14	Parma	25	6	11	8	-1	29
15	Spal	25	6	9	10	-6	27
16	Alessandria	25	6	5	14	-13	23
17	Cosenza	24	4	7	13	-18	19
18	Vicenza	25	3	6	16	-19	15
19	Crotone	24	2	8	14	-17	14
20	Pordenone	25	2	6	17	-31	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	12	9	2	1	+14	29
2	Lecce	12	8	4	0	+17	28
3	Cremonese	13	7	5	1	+10	26
4	Pisa	13	6	6	1	+6	24
5	Benevento	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Frosinone	12	4	6	2	+6	18
7	Cittadella	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Como	12	4	5	3	+3	17
9	Perugia	12	4	5	3	+3	17
10	Reggina	12	5	2	5	-3	17
11	Ternana	12	5	1	6	+0	16
12	Brescia	12	3	6	3	+1	15
13	Alessandria	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Spal	13	3	5	5	+2	14
15	Parma	12	3	5	4	+1	14
16	Cosenza	12	4	2	6	-3	14
17	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	-3	13
18	Crotone	12	2	5	5	-4	11
19	Vicenza	12	1	4	7	-8	7
20	Pordenone	13	1	4	8	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	12	9	2	1	+12	29
2	Ascoli	12	8	2	2	+9	26
3	Perugia	13	6	6	1	+5	24
4	Pisa	12	6	4	2	+7	22
5	Frosinone	12	5	5	2	+6	20
6	Cremonese	12	6	2	4	+6	20
7	Benevento	12	5	4	3	+4	19
8	Lecce	12	4	6	2	+3	18
9	Como	12	4	5	3	+0	17
10	Cittadella	12	4	5	3	-2	17
11	Monza	13	3	6	4	-1	15
12	Parma	13	3	6	4	-2	15
13	Ternana	13	3	6	4	-4	15
14	Reggina	12	4	3	5	-5	15
15	Spal	12	3	4	5	-8	13
16	Alessandria	12	2	2	8	-8	8
17	Vicenza	13	2	2	9	-11	8
18	Cosenza	12	0	5	7	-15	5
19	Pordenone	12	1	2	9	-18	5
20	Crotone	12	0	3	9	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.