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Serie B

Frosinone

U T U S U

2–1

Full-time

Crotone

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 20%

30%

10%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

30%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

11 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 7

7 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Frosinone 7. · Crotone 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	10	6	3	1	+10	21
2	Brescia	11	6	3	2	+8	21
3	Benevento	11	5	4	2	+9	19
4	Reggina	10	5	4	1	+4	19
5	Lecce	10	4	5	1	+5	17
6	Cremonese	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Frosinone	10	3	6	1	+4	15
8	Perugia	10	3	5	2	+2	14
9	Ascoli	10	4	2	4	+0	14
10	Monza	10	3	5	2	+0	14
11	Cosenza	10	4	2	4	-3	14
12	Spal	10	3	4	3	+4	13
13	Parma	10	3	4	3	+2	13
14	Ternana	10	4	1	5	+0	13
15	Como	10	3	4	3	+0	13
16	Cittadella	10	4	1	5	-3	13
17	Alessandria	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Crotone	10	1	4	5	-8	7
19	Vicenza	10	1	1	8	-12	4
20	Pordenone	10	0	2	8	-18	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cosenza	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Pisa	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Benevento	6	3	2	1	+6	11
4	Cremonese	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Reggina	5	3	2	0	+3	11
6	Monza	4	3	1	0	+4	10
7	Cittadella	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Spal	5	2	3	0	+6	9
9	Ternana	5	3	0	2	+3	9
10	Lecce	4	2	2	0	+4	8
11	Brescia	5	2	2	1	+3	8
12	Como	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Alessandria	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Frosinone	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Crotone	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Parma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Perugia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Ascoli	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Vicenza	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Pordenone	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	6	4	1	1	+5	13
2	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Frosinone	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Perugia	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	Lecce	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Benevento	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Parma	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Reggina	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Como	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Spal	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Ternana	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Monza	6	0	4	2	-4	4
15	Cittadella	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Vicenza	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Alessandria	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Cosenza	5	0	1	4	-9	1
20	Pordenone	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.