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Serie B
Cosenza
T S T T U
0–1
Full-time
Spal
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
23%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
62%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

17 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
10 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cosenza 15. · Spal 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 13 8 3 2 +10 27
2 Lecce 14 6 7 1 +11 25
3 Pisa 13 7 4 2 +9 25
4 Frosinone 13 5 7 1 +8 22
5 Cremonese 13 6 4 3 +5 22
6 Reggina 13 6 4 3 +3 22
7 Ascoli 13 6 3 4 +2 21
8 Monza 13 5 6 2 +2 21
9 Perugia 13 5 5 3 +2 20
10 Cittadella 13 6 2 5 +0 20
11 Benevento 13 5 4 4 +5 19
12 Como 13 5 4 4 +3 19
13 Ternana 14 5 3 6 +1 18
14 Parma 13 4 5 4 -1 17
15 Cosenza 13 4 3 6 -6 15
16 Spal 13 3 5 5 +2 14
17 Alessandria 13 3 2 8 -10 11
18 Crotone 14 1 5 8 -12 8
19 Vicenza 14 2 1 11 -14 7
20 Pordenone 13 0 3 10 -20 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,12
U
3,29
B ✓
2,27
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.