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Serie B

Cittadella

S S T U S

4–2

Full-time

Crotone

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

15 Shots 13

11 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cittadella 7. · Crotone 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Pisa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ascoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Perugia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Crotone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Reggina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pordenone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Alessandria	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Vicenza	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Cosenza	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Crotone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Reggina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Pordenone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Perugia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Alessandria	2	0	0	2	-3	0
11	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Cosenza	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.