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Championship
Referee: A Davies
West Brom
U S U T S
1–3
Full-time
Stoke
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Championship · 42/42 matches
Win Ø 38%
40%
36%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
36%
48%
Both score Ø 42%
31%
52%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 8. · Stoke 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 41 27 8 6 +63 89
2 Bournemouth 41 21 12 8 +27 75
3 Sheffield United 41 20 9 12 +18 69
4 Huddersfield 40 19 12 9 +14 69
5 Luton 41 19 11 11 +17 68
6 Middlesbrough 41 20 8 13 +17 68
7 Blackburn 41 18 11 12 +14 65
8 West Brom 42 17 12 13 +11 63
9 Nott'm Forest 36 18 8 10 +23 62
10 Coventry 42 17 11 14 +7 62
11 Swansea 41 17 9 15 -2 60
12 Preston 42 15 15 12 -2 60
13 QPR 42 17 8 17 +0 59
14 Millwall 41 15 13 13 +1 58
15 Stoke 42 15 11 16 +6 56
16 Blackpool 40 15 10 15 -1 55
17 Derby 42 13 13 16 -6 52
18 Cardiff 41 14 8 19 -11 50
19 Bristol City 42 13 9 20 -20 48
20 Reading 42 13 8 21 -26 47
21 Birmingham 42 11 13 18 -18 46
22 Hull 42 12 8 22 -10 44
23 Barnsley 40 6 12 22 -26 30
24 Peterboro 41 6 10 25 -48 28
25 Peterborough 40 6 9 25 -48 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Stoke
16′
J. Livermore 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
C. Robinson 🔁
↦ A. Mowatt
58′
K. Ahearne-Grant 🔁
↦ G. Diangana
58′
59′
J. Brown 1–1
T. Smith
2–1 C. Robinson
73′
76′
🔁 J. Maja
↦ S. Fletcher
A. Reach 🔁
↦ C. Townsend
79′
82′
🔁 B. Wilmot
↦ M. Vrančić
94′
L. Baker 2–2
J. Maja
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

West Brom

3-5-2
1 S. Johnstone G
5 K. Bartley D
3 C. Townsend M
6 S. Ajayi D
8 J. Livermore M
27 A. Mowatt M
16 M. Clarke D
11 G. Diangana F
14 J. Molumby M
15 A. Carroll F
29 T. Gardner-Hickman M
Bench (7)
7 C. Robinson
18 K. Ahearne-Grant
20 A. Reach
21 C. Kipre
4 D. O'Shea
25 D. Button
2 D. Furlong

Coach: S. Bruce

Stoke

3-5-2
13 J. Bonham G
19 P. Jagielka D
2 T. Smith M
14 J. Tymon M
26 W. Forrester D
24 T. Harwood-Bellis D
8 M. Vrančić M
4 J. Allen M
42 L. Baker M
9 S. Fletcher F
18 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
33 J. Maja
16 B. Wilmot
10 T. Campbell
27 A. Sima
39 T. Sparrow
5 J. Chester
12 J. Bursik

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U
3,44
B ✓
4,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Davies · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.