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Championship

Referee: D England

Middlesbrough

U U S T T

1–1

Full-time

Preston

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Preston

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

This season — Championship · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

22%

56%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

33%

56%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 19. · Preston 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	9	5	4	0	+7	19
2	Swansea	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Nott'm Forest	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	Leeds	9	5	2	2	+8	17
5	Preston	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Charlton	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Sheffield Weds	9	5	1	3	+7	16
8	Bristol City	9	4	4	1	+4	16
9	QPR	9	5	1	3	+0	16
10	Fulham	8	4	2	2	+7	14
11	Blackburn	9	4	1	4	+0	13
12	Birmingham	9	4	1	4	-3	13
13	Cardiff	8	3	3	2	-1	12
14	Brentford	9	3	2	4	+1	11
15	Derby	9	2	5	2	-2	11
16	Hull	9	2	4	3	+0	10
17	Luton	9	3	1	5	-3	10
18	Millwall	9	2	4	3	-5	10
19	Middlesbrough	9	2	3	4	-4	9
20	Reading	9	2	2	5	-2	8
21	Wigan	9	2	2	5	-7	8
22	Barnsley	9	1	2	6	-10	5
23	Huddersfield	9	0	2	7	-10	2
24	Stoke	9	0	2	7	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Fulham	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Swansea	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Charlton	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Cardiff	3	3	0	0	+3	9
6	West Brom	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Nott'm Forest	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Birmingham	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sheffield Weds	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Blackburn	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Wigan	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Millwall	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	QPR	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	Middlesbrough	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Derby	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Brentford	4	1	2	1	+2	5
17	Bristol City	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Leeds	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Hull	5	1	2	2	-2	5
20	Luton	4	1	1	2	-3	4
21	Barnsley	5	1	1	3	-5	4
22	Reading	4	1	0	3	-2	3
23	Stoke	5	0	1	4	-6	1
24	Huddersfield	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	5	4	0	1	+8	12
2	Bristol City	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Nott'm Forest	5	3	2	0	+3	11
5	Sheffield Weds	5	3	0	2	+5	9
6	QPR	4	3	0	1	+1	9
7	Swansea	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Charlton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Luton	5	2	0	3	+0	6
10	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Brentford	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Birmingham	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Hull	4	1	2	1	+2	5
14	Reading	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	Derby	4	1	2	1	-2	5
16	Fulham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Preston	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Cardiff	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	Millwall	5	0	3	2	-6	3
20	Middlesbrough	4	0	2	2	-2	2
21	Huddersfield	4	0	1	3	-4	1
22	Stoke	4	0	1	3	-5	1
23	Barnsley	4	0	1	3	-5	1
24	Wigan	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.