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Premier League
Referee: A Madley
Everton
S U T S T
3–1
Full-time
Southampton
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Everton Southampton
22′
A. Armstrong 0–1
C. Adams
Richarlison 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Richarlison
A. Townsend
47′
A. Iwobi 🔁
↦ A. Townsend
70′
Abdoulaye Doucouré 🟨
76′
2–1 A. Doucouré
A. Iwobi
76′
79′
🔁 I. Diallo
↦ Oriol Romeu
80′
🔁 N. Tella
↦ T. Walcott
3–1 D. Calvert-Lewin
Richarlison
81′
Y. Mina 🔁
↦ D. Gray
83′
83′
🔁 N. Redmond
↦ R. Perraud
A. Gordon 🔁
↦ Richarlison
89′
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,53
B
4,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.