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Ligue 2

Referee: K Abed

Rodez

S S U S S

1–1

Full-time

Bastia

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 27%

41%

12%

Points per game

1,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

48%

19%

Both score Ø 47%

67%

27%

Average goals

2,4

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rodez 5. · Bastia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	27	16	6	5	+17	54
2	St Etienne	27	15	5	7	+17	50
3	Le Mans	27	12	11	4	+11	47
4	Reims	27	11	10	6	+13	43
5	Rodez	27	11	10	6	+2	43
6	Montpellier	27	12	5	10	+8	41
7	Red Star	26	11	8	7	+4	41
8	Dunkerque	27	10	9	8	+13	39
9	Annecy	27	11	6	10	+5	39
10	Guingamp	27	10	9	8	+0	39
11	Pau FC	27	10	8	9	-4	38
12	Boulogne	27	9	6	12	-8	33
13	Grenoble	27	6	12	9	-6	30
14	Clermont	27	7	7	13	-6	28
15	Nancy	27	7	6	14	-16	27
16	Amiens	27	6	5	16	-16	23
17	Laval	27	3	11	13	-18	20
18	Bastia	26	3	10	13	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	14	11	1	2	+14	34
2	St Etienne	13	8	2	3	+14	26
3	Le Mans	14	7	5	2	+7	26
4	Reims	13	7	3	3	+9	24
5	Montpellier	14	7	3	4	+7	24
6	Guingamp	14	6	4	4	+0	22
7	Dunkerque	14	5	6	3	+8	21
8	Rodez	13	5	6	2	+3	21
9	Annecy	13	5	5	3	+6	20
10	Grenoble	14	4	8	2	-1	20
11	Red Star	13	5	5	3	-2	20
12	Clermont	13	4	4	5	+1	16
13	Pau FC	14	4	4	6	-5	16
14	Nancy	14	4	2	8	-10	14
15	Boulogne	13	4	1	8	-8	13
16	Bastia	13	2	4	7	-10	10
17	Amiens	13	2	3	8	-9	9
18	Laval	13	0	6	7	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	14	7	3	4	+3	24
2	Pau FC	13	6	4	3	+1	22
3	Rodez	14	6	4	4	-1	22
4	Red Star	13	6	3	4	+6	21
5	Le Mans	13	5	6	2	+4	21
6	Troyes	13	5	5	3	+3	20
7	Boulogne	14	5	5	4	+0	20
8	Reims	14	4	7	3	+4	19
9	Annecy	14	6	1	7	-1	19
10	Dunkerque	13	5	3	5	+5	18
11	Montpellier	13	5	2	6	+1	17
12	Guingamp	13	4	5	4	+0	17
13	Amiens	14	4	2	8	-7	14
14	Laval	14	3	5	6	-8	14
15	Nancy	13	3	4	6	-6	13
16	Clermont	14	3	3	8	-7	12
17	Grenoble	13	2	4	7	-5	10
18	Bastia	13	1	6	6	-6	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.