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Ligue 2
Referee: B Roffet
Boulogne
U U U S U
1–2
Full-time
Troyes
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
25%
56%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 7
14 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Boulogne 16. · Troyes 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 16 9 5 2 +13 32
2 St Etienne 17 9 3 5 +10 30
3 Le Mans 17 8 6 3 +5 30
4 Reims 17 8 5 4 +12 29
5 Red Star 16 8 5 3 +6 29
6 Dunkerque 17 7 6 4 +10 27
7 Pau FC 17 7 5 5 -2 26
8 Montpellier 17 7 4 6 +2 25
9 Guingamp 17 6 5 6 -5 23
10 Annecy 17 6 4 7 +3 22
11 Grenoble 17 5 6 6 -2 21
12 Rodez 17 5 6 6 -5 21
13 Clermont 17 4 7 6 -5 19
14 Amiens 17 5 3 9 -5 18
15 Nancy 17 5 3 9 -7 18
16 Boulogne 16 4 4 8 -7 16
17 Laval 17 3 6 8 -9 15
18 Bastia 16 1 5 10 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boulogne Troyes
9′
A. Mille 0–1
0–2 A. Monfray
own goal
22′
Half-time 0–2
56′
🟨 Mathis Hamdi
59′
🔁 J. Assoumou
↦ M. Detourbet
63′
🟨 Lucas Maronnier
Vincent Burlet 🟨
65′
73′
🔁 R. Ripart
↦ M. Adeline
S. Keita 🔁
↦ V. Burlet
78′
E. Mpembele Boula 🔁
↦ C. Fatou
78′
83′
🟨 Lucas Maronnier
83′
🟥 Lucas Maronnier
A. Pinot 🔁
↦ D. Thiam
86′
88′
🔁 A. Phliponeau
↦ M. Ifnaoui
E. Kouassi 🔁
↦ A. El Farissi
89′
89′
🔁 N. Donkor
↦ T. Bentayeb
90′
R. Ripart 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Boulogne

4-4-2
30 A. Uriev G
18 D. Thiam D
25 S. Gourville D
5 N. Zohore D
12 J. Boyer D
21 A. Platret M
14 J. Bultel M
19 N. Binet M
3 V. Burlet M
10 A. El Farissi F
17 C. Fatou F
Bench (7)
1 X. Lenogue
22 S. Duflos
77 E. Kouassi
15 A. Pinot
7 L. Boiteau
11 S. Keita
27 E. Mpembele Boula

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Troyes

4-2-3-1
40 H. Konate G
2 L. Maronnier D
6 A. Monfray D
23 H. Gambor D
22 M. Hamdi D
17 A. Mille M
8 M. Diop M
10 M. Ifnaoui M
5 M. Adeline M
11 M. Detourbet M
21 T. Bentayeb F
Bench (7)
1 Z. Boucher
38 S. Diawara
33 N. Donkor
26 A. Phliponeau
15 J. Assoumou
12 E. Odede
20 R. Ripart

Coach: Stephane Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,66
U
3,18
B ✓
1,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Roffet · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.