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Ligue 2

Referee: A Perreau Niel

Troyes

T T T T U

4–3

Full-time

Pau FC

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

52%

39%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

48%

65%

Both score Ø 55%

52%

57%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

64% Possession 36%

22 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 1. · Pau FC 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	23	12	6	5	+12	42
2	Reims	23	11	7	5	+14	40
3	St Etienne	23	12	4	7	+11	40
4	Le Mans	23	10	9	4	+6	39
5	Dunkerque	24	10	8	6	+15	38
6	Red Star	23	10	7	6	+5	37
7	Annecy	24	10	6	8	+7	36
8	Rodez	24	9	9	6	+0	36
9	Montpellier	24	10	4	10	+3	34
10	Pau FC	23	9	7	7	-1	34
11	Guingamp	23	9	6	8	-1	33
12	Grenoble	24	6	10	8	-5	28
13	Boulogne	24	7	5	12	-11	26
14	Nancy	24	7	5	12	-11	26
15	Clermont	24	6	7	11	-5	25
16	Amiens	23	6	4	13	-11	22
17	Bastia	23	3	9	11	-13	18
18	Laval	23	3	9	11	-15	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	12	9	1	2	+12	28
2	Reims	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Le Mans	12	6	4	2	+4	22
4	St Etienne	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	Dunkerque	13	5	5	3	+8	20
6	Annecy	12	5	5	2	+7	20
7	Montpellier	12	6	2	4	+5	20
8	Rodez	12	4	6	2	+2	18
9	Guingamp	12	5	3	4	-1	18
10	Grenoble	12	4	6	2	-1	18
11	Red Star	11	4	4	3	-3	16
12	Pau FC	12	4	3	5	-2	15
13	Nancy	12	4	2	6	-5	14
14	Clermont	11	3	4	4	+1	13
15	Bastia	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Boulogne	12	3	1	8	-10	10
17	Amiens	12	2	3	7	-7	9
18	Laval	11	0	4	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	12	6	3	3	+8	21
2	St Etienne	12	6	2	4	+0	20
3	Pau FC	11	5	4	2	+1	19
4	Dunkerque	11	5	3	3	+7	18
5	Rodez	12	5	3	4	-2	18
6	Reims	12	4	5	3	+4	17
7	Le Mans	11	4	5	2	+2	17
8	Annecy	12	5	1	6	+0	16
9	Boulogne	12	4	4	4	-1	16
10	Guingamp	11	4	3	4	+0	15
11	Troyes	11	3	5	3	+0	14
12	Montpellier	12	4	2	6	-2	14
13	Laval	12	3	5	4	-5	14
14	Amiens	11	4	1	6	-4	13
15	Clermont	13	3	3	7	-6	12
16	Nancy	12	3	3	6	-6	12
17	Grenoble	12	2	4	6	-4	10
18	Bastia	12	1	5	6	-6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.