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Ligue 2
Referee: E Rosier
Pau FC
U T T U S
0–2
Full-time
Troyes
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
32%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
40%
52%
Both score Ø 34%
48%
20%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 10. · Troyes 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 25 16 4 5 +20 52
2 Paris FC 25 15 4 6 +16 49
3 Dunkerque 25 15 3 7 +12 48
4 Metz 25 13 8 4 +21 47
5 Guingamp 25 12 3 10 +8 39
6 Annecy 25 11 6 8 +0 39
7 Laval 25 10 7 8 +7 37
8 Grenoble 25 10 5 10 +1 35
9 Bastia 25 7 13 5 +5 34
10 Pau FC 25 8 9 8 -5 33
11 Troyes 25 9 3 13 +0 30
12 Ajaccio 25 9 3 13 -9 30
13 Amiens 25 9 3 13 -12 30
14 Red Star 25 8 5 12 -14 29
15 Rodez 25 7 6 12 -2 27
16 Clermont 25 6 7 12 -11 25
17 Martigues 25 7 3 15 -22 24
18 Caen 25 5 4 16 -15 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Troyes
4′
🟨 Michel Diaz
Daylam Meddah 🟨
24′
Thérence Koudou 🟨
37′
Ousmane Kanté 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
62′
🔁 N. de Préville
↦ P. Ba
65′
N. de Préville 0–1
R. Saïd
69′
M. Diop 0–2
R. Saïd
K. Diawara 🔁
↦ O. Ngom
70′
J. Ruiz 🔁
↦ D. Meddah
77′
77′
🔁 J. Assoumou
↦ C. Irié
77′
🔁 X. Chavalerin
↦ M. Diop
T. Gomes 🔁
↦ M. Bangré
85′
85′
🔁 P. Gozzi
↦ A. Monfray
85′
🔁 M. Detourbet
↦ R. Saïd
C. Darribère 🔁
↦ J. Lopy
86′
J. Obiang 🔁
↦ J. Kalulu
86′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-2-3-1
1 B. Kamara G
2 T. Koudou D
19 O. Kanté D
97 D. Meddah D
3 J. Kalulu D
8 J. Lopy M
21 S. Beusnard M
27 M. Bangré M
6 O. Ngom M
9 P. Mboup M
10 K. Boutaïb F
Bench (7)
18 K. Diawara
25 J. Ruiz
20 T. Gomes
33 C. Darribère
23 J. Obiang
55 M. Jeannin
12 Jordy Gaspar

Coach: N. Usaï

Troyes

4-1-4-1
16 N. Lemaître G
17 Houboulang Mendes D
6 A. Monfray D
4 J. Diaz D
14 I. Boura D
26 A. Phliponeau M
21 C. Irié M
8 M. Diop M
10 Y. M'Changama M
11 R. Saïd M
25 P. Ba F
Bench (7)
12 N. de Préville
15 J. Assoumou
7 X. Chavalerin
23 P. Gozzi
32 M. Detourbet
1 Z. Boucher
42 A. Kanté

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U
3,15
B ✓
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Rosier · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.