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Bundesliga

Referee: W Altmann

Hartberg

T U S U U

1–0

Full-time

Grazer AK

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 27%

37%

16%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

53%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

68%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,21 xG 0,49

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 5. · Grazer AK 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	19	9	6	4	+13	+6.1	33
2	LASK	19	10	3	6	+4	+1.7	33
3	Austria Vienna	19	10	2	7	+3	+0.3	32
4	Sturm Graz	19	10	1	8	+4	+3.2	31
5	Hartberg	19	7	7	5	+4	-2.7	28
6	Ried	19	8	3	8	-1	-0.8	27
7	SK Rapid	19	7	5	7	-2	-0.9	26
8	Wolfsberger AC	19	7	4	8	+3	-5.0	25
9	Altach	19	6	7	6	+0	-0.8	25
10	Tirol	19	6	6	7	-2	+5.1	24
11	Grazer AK	19	3	8	8	-12	-2.6	17
12	BW Linz	19	4	2	13	-14	-3.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	9	6	1	2	+5	-0.8	19
2	Salzburg	10	5	2	3	+8	+3.2	17
3	Altach	9	4	4	1	+3	+2.7	16
4	Austria Vienna	10	5	1	4	-1	+1.6	16
5	Ried	10	4	3	3	+1	+0.2	15
6	Tirol	9	4	2	3	+2	+2.7	14
7	Wolfsberger AC	10	4	2	4	+2	-1.4	14
8	Hartberg	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.6	12
9	SK Rapid	9	3	2	4	-1	+0.3	11
10	Grazer AK	10	2	5	3	-2	-0.2	11
11	BW Linz	10	3	1	6	-3	-0.6	10
12	Sturm Graz	9	3	1	5	-5	+1.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	10	7	0	3	+9	+1.9	21
2	Salzburg	9	4	4	1	+5	+2.9	16
3	Austria Vienna	9	5	1	3	+4	-1.4	16
4	Hartberg	10	4	4	2	+3	-2.1	16
5	SK Rapid	10	4	3	3	-1	-1.2	15
6	LASK	10	4	2	4	-1	+2.5	14
7	Ried	9	4	0	5	-2	-1.0	12
8	Wolfsberger AC	9	3	2	4	+1	-3.6	11
9	Tirol	10	2	4	4	-4	+2.4	10
10	Altach	10	2	3	5	-3	-3.5	9
11	Grazer AK	9	1	3	5	-10	-2.4	6
12	BW Linz	9	1	1	7	-11	-2.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.