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Ligue 2
Referee: P Gaillouste
Nancy
S U T T U
2–1
Full-time
Troyes
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nancy Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 45%
38%
52%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

27% Possession 73%
10 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
4 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nancy 15. · Troyes 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 21 12 5 4 +13 41
2 Reims 22 11 6 5 +14 39
3 Le Mans 21 10 8 3 +8 38
4 Dunkerque 22 9 7 6 +12 34
5 St Etienne 21 10 4 7 +9 34
6 Red Star 21 9 7 5 +5 34
7 Pau FC 22 9 7 6 +0 34
8 Guingamp 22 9 6 7 +0 33
9 Annecy 22 9 5 8 +6 32
10 Montpellier 21 9 4 8 +3 31
11 Rodez 22 7 9 6 -2 30
12 Grenoble 22 6 8 8 -5 26
13 Boulogne 22 6 5 11 -10 23
14 Clermont 21 5 7 9 -5 22
15 Nancy 21 6 4 11 -11 22
16 Amiens 21 5 4 12 -9 19
17 Bastia 21 3 7 11 -13 16
18 Laval 21 3 7 11 -15 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nancy Troyes
Jimmy Evans 🟨
5′
1–0 J. Bourgault
8′
31′
T. Bentayeb 1–1
M. Detourbet
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Anis Ouzenadji
Adrian Dabasse 🟨
54′
H. Barbier 🔁
↦ J. Evans
63′
Hugo Barbier 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Mathys Detourbet
2–1 A. Dabasse
69′
V. Orakpo 🔁
↦ A. Dabasse
70′
R. Bamba 🔁
↦ T. Bouriaud
71′
F. Maouassa 🔁
↦ J. Bourgault
71′
71′
🔁 K. Diawara
↦ M. Detourbet
N. Fernandez 🔁
↦ W. Bouabdelli
76′
81′
🔁 N. Donkor
↦ Y. Titi
81′
🔁 M. El Idrissy
↦ M. Adeline
89′
🔁 S. Diawara
↦ A. Ouzenadji
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Nancy

4-1-4-1
1 E. Basilio G
44 E. Tacafred D
77 Y. Nahounou D
21 E. Mendy D
3 J. Bourgault D
17 M. Carlier M
22 J. Evans M
8 W. Bouabdelli M
6 T. Bouriaud M
7 Z. Fdaouch M
10 A. Dabasse F
Bench (7)
30 G. Lembet
4 N. Fernandez
9 N. Sissoko
18 H. Barbier
23 R. Bamba
24 V. Orakpo
27 F. Maouassa

Coach: Pablo Correa

Troyes

4-1-4-1
40 H. Konate G
44 Y. Titi D
6 A. Monfray D
23 H. Gambor D
3 A. Ouzenadji D
8 M. Diop M
20 R. Ripart M
17 A. Mille M
5 M. Adeline M
11 M. Detourbet M
21 T. Bentayeb F
Bench (7)
1 Z. Boucher
38 S. Diawara
31 N. Donkor
35 R. Murcy
7 X. Chavalerin
29 K. Diawara
9 M. El Idrissy

Coach: Stephane Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,36
U
3,12
B
2,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Gaillouste · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.