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Ligue 2
Referee: R Buquet
Bastia
T S T U U
0–0
Full-time
Troyes
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 35%
14%
55%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
19%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
24%
55%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 18. · Troyes 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 22 12 5 5 +12 41
2 Reims 23 11 7 5 +14 40
3 St Etienne 23 12 4 7 +11 40
4 Le Mans 23 10 9 4 +6 39
5 Dunkerque 23 10 7 6 +15 37
6 Red Star 22 10 7 5 +6 37
7 Montpellier 23 10 4 9 +4 34
8 Pau FC 23 9 7 7 -1 34
9 Annecy 23 9 6 8 +6 33
10 Guingamp 23 9 6 8 -1 33
11 Rodez 23 8 9 6 -1 33
12 Grenoble 23 6 9 8 -5 27
13 Boulogne 23 7 5 11 -9 26
14 Nancy 23 7 4 12 -11 25
15 Clermont 23 5 7 11 -7 22
16 Amiens 23 6 4 13 -11 22
17 Laval 23 3 9 11 -15 18
18 Bastia 21 3 7 11 -13 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Bastia

5-4-1
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
4 A. Roncaglia D
28 G. Akueson D
3 J. Guevara D
5 Z. Ariss D
7 C. Vincent M
13 T. Ducrocq M
17 J. Eickmayer M
10 A. Boutrah M
9 F. Tomi F
Bench (7)
1 L. Olmeta
66 J. Janneh
29 M. Merghem
8 I. Karamoko
24 T. Meynadier
14 J. Sebas
18 A. Zaouai

Coach: Michel Moretti

Troyes

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Boucher G
44 Y. Titi D
6 A. Monfray D
23 H. Gambor D
38 S. Diawara D
17 A. Mille M
7 X. Chavalerin M
20 R. Ripart M
5 M. Adeline M
11 M. Detourbet M
21 T. Bentayeb F
Bench (7)
33 M. Nkoumouck
29 K. Diawara
31 N. Donkor
35 R. Murcy
9 M. El Idrissy
3 A. Ouzenadji
12 E. Odede

Coach: Stephane Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,04
U ✓
3,06
B
2,29
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.