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Ligue 1

Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry

Bastia

S T S S S

0–0

Full-time

Lorient

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/28 matches

Win Ø 37%

41%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

30%

54%

Both score Ø 51%

33%

68%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

24 Shots 2

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 11. · Lorient 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	29	23	5	1	+53	74
2	Monaco	29	13	12	4	+10	51
3	Caen	29	13	4	12	-6	43
4	Lyon	28	12	6	10	+10	42
5	Nice	28	11	8	9	+7	41
6	Rennes	28	10	11	7	+3	41
7	St Etienne	28	12	5	11	+1	41
8	Nantes	27	10	10	7	+2	40
9	Angers	28	10	8	10	+0	38
10	Lorient	28	9	10	9	-1	37
11	Bastia	27	11	4	12	-2	37
12	Bordeaux	28	9	10	9	-6	37
13	Marseille	27	8	12	7	+9	36
14	Montpellier	29	10	6	13	+3	36
15	Lille	28	7	13	8	-2	34
16	Guingamp	28	8	8	12	-7	32
17	Reims	28	8	8	12	-7	32
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	27	6	10	11	-10	28
19	Toulouse	28	4	10	14	-20	22
20	Troyes	28	2	8	18	-37	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	3	0	+32	36
2	Lyon	14	8	3	3	+14	27
3	Bastia	13	9	0	4	+9	27
4	Monaco	14	7	5	2	+8	26
5	Bordeaux	14	7	4	3	+6	25
6	St Etienne	14	7	3	4	+5	24
7	Lorient	14	6	5	3	+7	23
8	Nice	14	7	2	5	+5	23
9	Nantes	14	6	5	3	+3	23
10	Caen	15	7	2	6	-5	23
11	Lille	14	6	4	4	+4	22
12	Angers	14	5	6	3	+3	21
13	Montpellier	15	7	0	8	+2	21
14	Guingamp	14	5	5	4	+4	20
15	Reims	15	5	5	5	+3	20
16	Rennes	13	4	5	4	-1	17
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	13	3	6	4	-3	15
18	Marseille	14	2	8	4	+5	14
19	Toulouse	14	2	7	5	-2	13
20	Troyes	14	0	6	8	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	12	2	1	+21	38
2	Monaco	15	6	7	2	+2	25
3	Rennes	15	6	6	3	+4	24
4	Marseille	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Caen	14	6	2	6	-1	20
6	Nice	14	4	6	4	+2	18
7	Nantes	13	4	5	4	-1	17
8	Angers	14	5	2	7	-3	17
9	St Etienne	14	5	2	7	-4	17
10	Montpellier	14	3	6	5	+1	15
11	Lyon	14	4	3	7	-4	15
12	Lorient	14	3	5	6	-8	14
13	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	14	3	4	7	-7	13
14	Lille	14	1	9	4	-6	12
15	Reims	13	3	3	7	-10	12
16	Guingamp	14	3	3	8	-11	12
17	Bordeaux	14	2	6	6	-12	12
18	Bastia	14	2	4	8	-11	10
19	Toulouse	14	2	3	9	-18	9
20	Troyes	14	2	2	10	-25	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.