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Ligue 2
Referee: G Angoula
Ajaccio
S T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Grenoble
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Grenoble
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
1,6
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 11. · Grenoble 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bastia 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 Guingamp 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 Grenoble 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Lorient 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Metz 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Paris FC 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Amiens 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Dunkerque 5 3 0 2 +0 9
9 Annecy 5 2 2 1 +3 8
10 Pau FC 5 2 2 1 +3 8
11 Ajaccio 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Red Star 5 2 0 3 -5 6
13 Laval 5 1 2 2 +1 5
14 Clermont 5 1 1 3 -2 4
15 Caen 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Rodez 5 1 0 4 -2 3
17 Martigues 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Troyes 5 0 1 4 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Grenoble
26′
🟨 Lenny Joseph
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Rigo
↦ N. Mbemba
Christopher Ibayi 🟨
48′
Benjamin Santelli 🟨
49′
1–0 M. Soumano
V. Jacob
58′
A. Kanté 🔁
↦ V. Jacob
60′
Y. Touzghar 🔁
↦ C. Ibayi
60′
60′
🔁 A. Mendy
↦ S. Delos
60′
🔁 P. Meïssa Ba
↦ A. Jabbari
I. Chegra 🔁
↦ M. Soumano
68′
2–0 T. Jabol-Folcarelli
T. Strata
71′
72′
🔁 A. Kérouédan
↦ J. Benet
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli 🟨
74′
C. Vidal 🔁
↦ A. Bamba
78′
J. Anziani 🔁
↦ B. Santelli
79′
79′
🔁 E. Sylvestre
↦ M. Bangré
Ivane Chegra 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ajaccio

4-4-2
16 F. Sollacaro G
23 T. Strata D
31 J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze D
88 A. Bamba D
43 K. Kouassi D
10 V. Jacob M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
8 M. Puch-Herrantz M
99 B. Santelli M
22 M. Soumano F
9 C. Ibayi F
Bench (7)
27 A. Kanté
7 Y. Touzghar
21 I. Chegra
5 C. Vidal
25 J. Anziani
30 G. Quilichini
20 M. Youssouf

Coach: M. Chabert

Grenoble

4-2-3-1
13 M. Diop G
29 G. Paquiez D
4 M. Diarra D
24 L. Mouyokolo D
17 S. Delos D
25 T. Valls M
31 N. Mbemba M
19 L. Joseph M
11 M. Bangré M
8 J. Benet M
38 A. Jabbari F
Bench (7)
6 D. Rigo
77 A. Mendy
7 P. Meïssa Ba
9 A. Kérouédan
10 E. Sylvestre
21 A. Tchaptchet
16 B. Allain

Coach: O. Tanchot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,60
U
2,97
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,57
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Angoula · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.