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Ligue 1
Referee: N Rainville
Bordeaux
U S T T U
0–0
Full-time
Caen
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 11. · Caen 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 12 0 0 +34 36
2 Lille 13 8 2 3 +11 26
3 Montpellier 13 7 4 2 +12 25
4 Lyon 13 7 3 3 +7 24
5 St Etienne 13 6 5 2 +2 23
6 Nice 13 6 2 5 -4 20
7 Marseille 12 6 1 5 +1 19
8 Strasbourg 13 4 6 3 +4 18
9 Reims 13 4 5 4 -4 17
10 Nantes 12 4 3 5 +2 15
11 Bordeaux 12 4 3 5 -1 15
12 Angers 13 4 3 6 -2 15
13 Rennes 12 4 3 5 -3 15
14 Nimes 13 3 5 5 -2 14
15 Toulouse 13 3 5 5 -10 14
16 Amiens 13 4 1 8 -8 13
17 Caen 12 2 5 5 -5 11
18 Dijon 12 3 2 7 -9 11
19 Monaco 12 1 4 7 -6 7
20 Guingamp 13 1 4 8 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Caen
Sergi Palencia 🟨
20′
21′
🟨 Baissama Sankoh
Lukas Lerager 🟨
28′
30′
🟨 Adama Mbengue
François Kamano 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Frédéric Guilbert
Half-time 0–0
Aurelien Tchouameni 🟨
54′
A. Cornelius 🔁
↦ J. Briand
59′
N. de Préville 🔁
↦ S. Kalu
59′
64′
🔁 M. Tchokounté
↦ S. Khaoui
V. Vada 🔁
↦ A. Tchouaméni
72′
75′
🔁 Y. Armougom
↦ E. Crivelli
82′
🔁 C. Ninga
↦ B. Sankoh
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
25 Pablo D
29 M. Poundjé D
3 Sergi Palencia D
5 Otávio M
4 J. Koundé D
19 L. Lerager M
17 A. Tchouaméni M
7 J. Briand F
11 F. Kamano F
10 S. Kalu F
Bench (7)
9 A. Cornelius
12 N. de Préville
23 V. Vada
14 V. Jovanović
16 G. Poussin
20 Y. Sabaly
26 T. Bašić

Coach: É. Bedouet

Caen

4-2-3-1
30 B. Samba G
14 J. Gradit D
21 F. Guilbert D
22 A. Mbengue D
24 A. Djiku D
6 P. Oniangué M
10 F. Fajr M
5 B. Sankoh M
7 S. Khaoui M
12 C. Beauvue F
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (7)
19 M. Tchokounté
3 Y. Armougom
11 C. Ninga
8 S. Peeters
17 J. Deminguet
1 E. Zelazny
4 I. Diomandé

Coach: F. Mercadal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.