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Ligue 2

Referee: T Bouille

Pau FC

U U U T S

2–3

Full-time

Caen

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 39%

35%

42%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 52%

58%

46%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

19 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 9. · Caen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	26	14	9	3	+25	51
2	Angers	26	14	4	8	+10	46
3	Laval	26	12	8	6	+5	44
4	St Etienne	27	12	6	9	+8	42
5	Grenoble	26	10	10	6	+8	40
6	Caen	26	11	6	9	+3	39
7	Rodez	26	10	8	8	+5	38
8	Ajaccio	26	10	8	8	+1	38
9	Pau FC	26	9	10	7	+0	37
10	Amiens	26	9	10	7	-3	37
11	Paris FC	27	9	9	9	+1	36
12	Bordeaux	26	10	6	10	-3	36
13	Guingamp	26	9	8	9	+2	35
14	Concarneau	26	9	5	12	-7	32
15	Bastia	26	8	7	11	-3	31
16	Troyes	26	7	9	10	-5	30
17	Dunkerque	26	8	6	12	-13	30
18	Quevilly Rouen	26	5	10	11	-3	25
19	Annecy	26	5	8	13	-11	23
20	Valenciennes	26	2	9	15	-20	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	13	10	2	1	+14	32
2	Ajaccio	13	8	5	0	+13	29
3	Auxerre	13	7	4	2	+13	25
4	Caen	13	7	3	3	+9	24
5	Bordeaux	13	7	3	3	+6	24
6	Grenoble	13	6	5	2	+7	23
7	Rodez	12	6	4	2	+8	22
8	Amiens	14	5	7	2	+3	22
9	St Etienne	14	6	3	5	+6	21
10	Bastia	13	6	3	4	+1	21
11	Pau FC	13	5	5	3	+3	20
12	Troyes	13	6	2	5	+3	20
13	Paris FC	14	5	4	5	+3	19
14	Laval	13	5	4	4	-3	19
15	Guingamp	12	4	4	4	+3	16
16	Concarneau	13	4	3	6	-6	15
17	Quevilly Rouen	13	2	5	6	-3	11
18	Annecy	13	2	5	6	-7	11
19	Dunkerque	13	3	2	8	-11	11
20	Valenciennes	13	1	5	7	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	13	7	5	1	+12	26
2	Laval	13	7	4	2	+8	25
3	St Etienne	13	6	3	4	+2	21
4	Guingamp	14	5	4	5	-1	19
5	Dunkerque	13	5	4	4	-2	19
6	Grenoble	13	4	5	4	+1	17
7	Concarneau	13	5	2	6	-1	17
8	Paris FC	13	4	5	4	-2	17
9	Pau FC	13	4	5	4	-3	17
10	Rodez	14	4	4	6	-3	16
11	Caen	13	4	3	6	-6	15
12	Amiens	12	4	3	5	-6	15
13	Quevilly Rouen	13	3	5	5	+0	14
14	Angers	13	4	2	7	-4	14
15	Annecy	13	3	3	7	-4	12
16	Bordeaux	13	3	3	7	-9	12
17	Bastia	13	2	4	7	-4	10
18	Troyes	13	1	7	5	-8	10
19	Ajaccio	13	2	3	8	-12	9
20	Valenciennes	13	1	4	8	-12	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.