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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Concarneau
U S S U U
1–2
Full-time
Pau FC
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Concarneau Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
36%
71%
Both score Ø 43%
36%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,6
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Concarneau 11. · Pau FC 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 15 10 2 3 +8 32
2 Angers 15 9 3 3 +12 30
3 Grenoble 15 7 6 2 +5 27
4 Auxerre 15 7 5 3 +14 26
5 Guingamp 15 6 6 3 +8 24
6 St Etienne 15 7 3 5 +2 24
7 Ajaccio 15 6 5 4 +1 23
8 Pau FC 14 6 4 4 +0 22
9 Rodez 15 5 5 5 +1 20
10 Amiens 15 5 5 5 -3 20
11 Concarneau 14 5 4 5 -2 19
12 Bordeaux 15 5 4 6 -5 19
13 Annecy 15 4 6 5 -3 18
14 Paris FC 15 5 2 8 -3 17
15 Bastia 15 4 5 6 -5 17
16 Caen 15 4 4 7 -1 16
17 Troyes 15 2 7 6 -3 13
18 Quevilly Rouen 15 2 6 7 -4 12
19 Dunkerque 15 3 3 9 -11 12
20 Valenciennes 15 1 7 7 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Concarneau Pau FC
Axel Urie 🟨
16′
23′
🟨 Xavier Kouassi
30′
G. Jannez 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Kanté
↦ X. Kouassi
46′
M. Bassouamina 1–1
L. Mouton
Alexandre Philiponeau 🟨
55′
Abdelwahed Wahib 🟨
58′
I. Matondo 🔁
↦ A. Urié
60′
Y. Merdji 🔁
↦ B. Mouazan
60′
61′
🟨 Sessi D'Almeida
2–1 Y. Merdji
62′
68′
🔁 M. Chahiri
↦ S. DAlmeida
69′
🔁 S. Beusnard
↦ M. Sylla
69′
🔁 C. Boli
↦ M. Bassouamina
A. Georgen 🔁
↦ A. Wahib
73′
G. Barès 🔁
↦ M. Etuin
79′
81′
🔁 Y. Njoh
↦ H. Saivet
Alexandre Philiponeau 🟨
88′
Alexandre Philiponeau 🟥
88′
89′
🟥 Khalid Boutaïb
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Concarneau

4-2-2-2
30 E. Salles G
33 J. Faussurier D
4 G. Jannez D
12 J. Célestine D
3 A. Wahib D
6 A. Phliponeau M
17 M. Etuin M
20 B. Mouazan M
11 A. Urié M
21 N. Chadli F
14 P. Bâ F
Bench (7)
7 I. Matondo
18 Y. Merdji
2 A. Georgen
15 G. Barès
28 I. Paro
1 M. Pattier
22 C. Rodrigues

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Pau FC

4-2-3-1
1 B. Kamara G
2 T. Koudou D
4 X. Kouassi D
25 J. Ruiz D
24 K. Boto D
6 S. D'Almeida M
13 L. Mouton M
7 M. Sylla M
8 H. Saivet M
11 M. Bassouamina M
10 K. Boutaïb F
Bench (7)
19 O. Kanté
99 M. Chahiri
21 S. Beusnard
70 C. Boli
30 Y. Njoh
22 A. Ahoussou
40 M. Jeannin

Coach: N. Usaï

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U
3,28
B ✓
3,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.