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Ligue 2
Referee: K Abed
Dunkerque
S S U S S
2–2
Full-time
Concarneau
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Concarneau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 33%
31%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 37%
38%
35%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 17. · Concarneau 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 26 14 9 3 +25 51
2 Angers 26 14 4 8 +10 46
3 Laval 26 12 8 6 +5 44
4 St Etienne 27 12 6 9 +8 42
5 Grenoble 26 10 10 6 +8 40
6 Caen 26 11 6 9 +3 39
7 Rodez 26 10 8 8 +5 38
8 Ajaccio 26 10 8 8 +1 38
9 Pau FC 26 9 10 7 +0 37
10 Amiens 26 9 10 7 -3 37
11 Paris FC 27 9 9 9 +1 36
12 Bordeaux 26 10 6 10 -3 36
13 Guingamp 26 9 8 9 +2 35
14 Concarneau 26 9 5 12 -7 32
15 Bastia 26 8 7 11 -3 31
16 Troyes 26 7 9 10 -5 30
17 Dunkerque 26 8 6 12 -13 30
18 Quevilly Rouen 26 5 10 11 -3 25
19 Annecy 26 5 8 13 -11 23
20 Valenciennes 26 2 9 15 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Oct -23 Concarneau – Dunkerque 4–3

Match report

Dunkerque Concarneau
1–0 J. Anziani
J. Gbamin
18′
25′
🟨 Isaac Matondo
35′
K. Diawara 1–1
B. Mouazan
Half-time 1–1
Gessime Yassine 🟨
51′
56′
🟨 Alexandre Philiponeau
2–1 J. Anziani
62′
A. Maurer 🔁
↦ G. Yassine
63′
R. Ghrieb 🔁
↦ A. Laaziri
64′
75′
🔁 A. Urié
↦ I. Matondo
81′
🔁 C. Rodrigues
↦ B. Mouazan
81′
🔁 N. Ndombasi
↦ K. Diawara
81′
🔁 T. Lebeau
↦ A. Phliponeau
A. Ba 🔁
↦ E. Bardeli
90′
R. Boissier 🔁
↦ J. Gbamin
90′
Gaëtan Courtet 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Julien Celestine
97′
N. Ndombasi 2–2
A. Georgen
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-4-2
30 M. Koné G
19 B. Youssouf D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 B. Lagae D
7 Y. Bilingi D
80 G. Yassine M
25 J. Gbamin M
10 J. Anziani M
15 A. Laaziri M
18 G. Courtet F
20 E. Bardeli F
Bench (7)
92 A. Maurer
27 R. Ghrieb
2 A. Ba
5 R. Boissier
24 E. Bah
9 S. Baghdadi
1 L. Lavallée

Coach: Luís Castro

Concarneau

4-2-3-1
30 E. Salles G
33 J. Faussurier D
4 G. Jannez D
12 J. Célestine D
2 A. Georgen D
6 A. Phliponeau M
15 G. Barès M
19 K. Diawara M
20 B. Mouazan M
7 I. Matondo M
14 P. Bâ F
Bench (7)
11 A. Urié
22 C. Rodrigues
9 N. Ndombasi
8 T. Lebeau
23 R. Sans
26 T. Sinquin
1 M. Pattier

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,07
B
3,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,29
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.