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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Guingamp
U T U S T
3–1
Full-time
Laval
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Laval
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 33%
34%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 52%
56%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 11
4 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 11. · Laval 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 33 18 14 1 +28 68
2 Bordeaux 32 17 8 7 +19 59
3 Metz 32 16 10 6 +23 58
4 Sochaux 32 15 7 10 +21 52
5 Caen 33 14 10 9 +7 52
6 Bastia 32 15 7 10 +4 52
7 Grenoble 32 13 8 11 +0 47
8 St Etienne 32 12 9 11 +2 45
9 Quevilly Rouen 32 11 11 10 +1 44
10 Paris FC 32 12 7 13 -1 43
11 Guingamp 32 11 9 12 -1 42
12 Rodez 32 10 10 12 -4 40
13 Pau FC 32 10 10 12 -8 40
14 Amiens 32 11 7 14 -9 40
15 Valenciennes 32 8 13 11 -6 37
16 Annecy 32 9 9 14 -13 36
17 Laval 32 10 4 18 -12 34
18 Dijon 32 7 10 15 -10 31
19 Nimes 32 8 5 19 -16 29
20 Niort 32 7 6 19 -25 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -22 Laval – Guingamp 1–2

Match report

Guingamp Laval
1–0 J. Livolant
4′
35′
S. Elisor 1–1
Y. Baldé
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Bryan Goncalves
Baptiste Roux 🟨
58′
T. Muyumba 🔁
↦ B. Roux
63′
G. Courtet 🔁
↦ A. El Ouazzani
67′
M. Merghem 🔁
↦ H. Picard
68′
2–1 M. Sivis
69′
3–1 G. Courtet
J. Livolant
72′
76′
🔁 S. Da Silva
↦ K. Perrot
Mehdi Merghem 🟨
79′
Dylan Louiserre 🟨
81′
85′
🔁 G. Durbant
↦ Z. Naidji
85′
🔁 M. Baudry
↦ Y. Baldé
87′
🔁 J. Roye
↦ J. Adéoti
M. Barthelmé 🔁
↦ J. Livolant
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
30 D. Youfeigane G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
22 L. Mbe Soh D
25 J. Gaudin D
29 J. Livolant M
4 D. Louiserre M
2 B. Roux M
20 H. Picard M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
6 T. Muyumba
18 G. Courtet
10 M. Merghem
28 M. Barthelmé
15 V. Manceau
26 M. Riou
50 E. Jaouen

Coach: S. Dumont

Laval

5-4-1
16 A. Sauvage G
2 K. Perrot D
12 Y. Baldé D
23 Yohan Tavares D
7 B. Goncalves D
25 E. Seidou D
29 D. Sylla M
8 K. Tapoko M
27 J. Adéoti M
24 Z. Naidji M
14 S. Elisor F
Bench (7)
20 S. Da Silva
9 G. Durbant
3 M. Baudry
4 J. Roye
15 D. Diaw
18 R. Duterte
1 M. Hautbois

Coach: O. Frapolli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,13
B
3,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.