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Ligue 2
Referee: W Toulliou
Paris FC
T S S U S
2–1
Full-time
Dijon
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
35%
24%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
35%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Paris FC 10. · Dijon 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 17 10 6 1 +19 36
2 Bordeaux 17 9 4 4 +11 31
3 Sochaux 17 9 3 5 +12 30
4 Amiens 17 8 3 6 +2 27
5 Grenoble 17 7 5 5 +1 26
6 Metz 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Caen 17 6 6 5 +2 24
8 Quevilly Rouen 17 6 6 5 +1 24
9 Valenciennes 17 6 6 5 +0 24
10 Paris FC 17 6 6 5 -1 24
11 Bastia 17 7 3 7 -4 24
12 Guingamp 17 6 5 6 -1 23
13 Pau FC 17 5 6 6 -5 21
14 Annecy 17 5 5 7 -1 20
15 Laval 17 6 2 9 -7 20
16 Dijon 17 4 6 7 -1 18
17 Rodez 17 4 6 7 -6 18
18 Nimes 17 4 4 9 -6 16
19 Niort 17 4 4 9 -13 16
20 St Etienne 17 3 6 8 -7 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Dijon
1–0 J. Iglesias
11′
Maxime Bernauer 🟨
19′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Ndong
↦ J. Marié
46′
🔁 B. Soumaré
↦ O. Thioune
62′
Xande Silva 1–1
Z. Touré
63′
🔁 W. Nassi Ouled Bentle
↦ L. Tchaouna
W. Caddy 🔁
↦ J. López
70′
76′
🔁 A. Ngouyamsa
↦ C. Rocchia
F. Hanin 🔁
↦ J. Hadjam
79′
M. Chahiri 🔁
↦ M. Guilavogui
79′
81′
🔁 I. Camara
↦ Xande Silva
84′
🟥 Cheik Traoré
I. Kebbal 🔁
↦ P. Lasne
87′
L. Gueho 🔁
↦ A. Gory
87′
93′
🟨 Mickaël Le Bihan
2–1 L. Gueho
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Paris FC

5-3-2
1 V. Demarconnay G
27 A. Gory D
31 S. Chergui D
24 M. Bernauer D
15 J. Lefort D
3 J. Hadjam D
10 J. Iglesias M
6 P. Lasne M
14 C. Mandouki M
20 J. López F
21 M. Guilavogui F
Bench (7)
22 W. Caddy
29 F. Hanin
7 M. Chahiri
11 I. Kebbal
33 L. Gueho
25 Y. Koré
16 O. Nkambadio

Coach: T. Laurey

Dijon

4-2-3-1
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Traoré D
32 Z. Touré D
5 S. Coulibaly D
13 C. Rocchia D
14 J. Marié M
93 O. Thioune M
9 L. Tchaouna M
25 J. Pi M
10 Xande Silva M
8 M. Le Bihan F
Bench (7)
20 D. Ndong
28 B. Soumaré
22 W. Nassi Ouled Bentle
92 A. Ngouyamsa
18 I. Camara
16 S. Allagbé
6 M. Ahlinvi

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,12
U
3,01
B
3,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Toulliou · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.