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Ligue 2

Toulouse

T T U U S

0–0

Full-time

Troyes

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 5

4 Corners 7

16 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 14. · Troyes 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Niort	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Paris FC	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Grenoble	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Sochaux	5	2	3	0	+3	9
5	Troyes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Valenciennes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Le Havre	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Caen	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Rodez	5	2	2	1	-1	8
10	Dunkerque	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Clermont	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-3	6
14	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Amiens	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Chambly	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Nancy	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Chateauroux	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Ajaccio	5	1	1	3	-3	4
20	Pau FC	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Valenciennes	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Grenoble	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Rodez	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Niort	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Caen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Amiens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Ajaccio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Paris FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Auxerre	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Chambly	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Clermont	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Nancy	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Chateauroux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Niort	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Le Havre	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Sochaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Caen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Clermont	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Nancy	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Dunkerque	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Chateauroux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Grenoble	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Rodez	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Chambly	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Amiens	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Pau FC	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Valenciennes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Ajaccio	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.