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2. Bundesliga

Referee: A Sather

Nurnberg

U U T U S

0–1

Full-time

St Pauli

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

29%

18%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

47%

53%

Both score Ø 47%

41%

53%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

23 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 11. · St Pauli 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	18	11	6	1	+14	39
2	Heidenheim	18	10	6	2	+15	36
3	Hamburg	17	11	1	5	+10	34
4	Kaiserslautern	18	8	8	2	+8	32
5	Paderborn	18	9	2	7	+14	29
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	9	2	7	+7	29
7	Hannover	18	8	4	6	+5	28
8	Holstein Kiel	18	7	7	4	+3	28
9	Hansa Rostock	18	6	3	9	-8	21
10	Greuther Furth	18	4	8	6	-5	20
11	Nurnberg	17	5	4	8	-9	19
12	Regensburg	18	5	4	9	-12	19
13	Karlsruhe	18	5	3	10	-5	18
14	Braunschweig	17	4	6	7	-8	18
15	St Pauli	17	3	8	6	-2	17
16	Bielefeld	17	5	2	10	-5	17
17	Magdeburg	18	5	2	11	-14	17
18	Sandhausen	17	4	4	9	-8	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	9	7	2	0	+13	23
2	Darmstadt	10	6	4	0	+11	22
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	1	2	+10	19
4	Paderborn	9	6	0	3	+15	18
5	Hannover	9	5	2	2	+4	17
6	Hamburg	9	5	1	3	+5	16
7	Holstein Kiel	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	St Pauli	8	3	5	0	+7	14
9	Greuther Furth	9	3	5	1	+1	14
10	Kaiserslautern	9	3	4	2	+0	13
11	Regensburg	9	3	4	2	-4	13
12	Bielefeld	8	4	0	4	+2	12
13	Sandhausen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Braunschweig	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Karlsruhe	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	-3	10
17	Hansa Rostock	9	3	1	5	-3	10
18	Magdeburg	8	2	1	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kaiserslautern	9	5	4	0	+8	19
2	Hamburg	8	6	0	2	+5	18
3	Darmstadt	8	5	2	1	+3	17
4	Heidenheim	9	3	4	2	+2	13
5	Holstein Kiel	9	3	4	2	-2	13
6	Hannover	9	3	2	4	+1	11
7	Paderborn	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Hansa Rostock	9	3	2	4	-5	11
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	1	5	-3	10
10	Magdeburg	10	3	1	6	-7	10
11	Nurnberg	9	2	3	4	-6	9
12	Karlsruhe	8	2	1	5	-3	7
13	Braunschweig	8	1	4	3	-7	7
14	Greuther Furth	9	1	3	5	-6	6
15	Regensburg	9	2	0	7	-8	6
16	Bielefeld	9	1	2	6	-7	5
17	Sandhausen	9	1	2	6	-8	5
18	St Pauli	9	0	3	6	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.