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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Millwall
S U U U U
1–0
Full-time
Bristol City
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
11%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
44%
Both score Ø 84%
89%
78%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
5 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 20. · Bristol City 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 11 7 4 0 +13 25
2 Bournemouth 10 6 4 0 +9 22
3 Coventry 10 7 1 2 +9 22
4 Stoke 10 5 3 2 +3 18
5 Fulham 9 5 2 2 +11 17
6 Blackburn 10 4 4 2 +6 16
7 Huddersfield 9 5 1 3 +4 16
8 Reading 10 5 1 4 +0 16
9 QPR 10 4 3 3 +5 15
10 Sheffield United 11 4 3 4 +3 15
11 Preston 11 3 5 3 -1 14
12 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 +1 13
13 Luton 10 3 4 3 +0 13
14 Middlesbrough 10 3 3 4 +0 12
15 Blackpool 10 3 3 4 -4 12
16 Birmingham 11 3 3 5 -5 12
17 Cardiff 11 3 3 5 -6 12
18 Swansea 9 2 4 3 -3 10
19 Derby 10 2 4 4 -3 10
20 Millwall 9 1 6 2 -2 9
21 Barnsley 9 1 5 3 -4 8
22 Peterboro 10 2 2 6 -10 8
23 Peterborough 9 2 1 6 -10 7
24 Hull 10 1 3 6 -9 6
25 Nott'm Forest 8 0 2 6 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Bristol City
31′
🔁 C. Pring
↦ N. Baker
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 C. O'Dowda
↦ J. Dasilva
59′
🟨 Joe Williams
J. Wallace 🔁
↦ M. Smith
59′
63′
🟨 Robert Atkinson
1–0 J. Wallace
64′
69′
🔁 K. Palmer
↦ J. Williams
B. Mitchell 🔁
↦ S. Ojo
73′
Dan McNamara 🟨
79′
J. Cooper 🔁
↦ S. Malone
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Millwall

3-4-1-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
11 S. Malone M
4 S. Hutchinson D
3 M. Wallace D
28 G. Evans M
26 D. Ballard D
2 D. McNamara M
17 G. Saville M
23 B. Afobe F
10 M. Smith F
14 S. Ojo F
Bench (7)
7 J. Wallace
24 B. Mitchell
5 J. Cooper
9 T. Bradshaw
6 M. Kieftenbeld
18 R. Leonard
1 G. Long

Coach: G. Rowett

Bristol City

3-5-2
1 D. Bentley G
17 N. Baker D
22 T. Kalas D
3 J. Dasilva M
5 R. Atkinson D
6 M. James M
8 J. Williams M
15 T. Bakinson M
9 C. Martin F
14 A. Weimann F
19 G. Tanner M
Bench (7)
16 C. Pring
11 C. O'Dowda
45 K. Palmer
36 A. Scott
2 D. Simpson
10 A. King
12 M. O’Leary

Coach: N. Pearson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
3,18
B
3,85
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.